At the close of the first summer term of 1997, Florida's Pensacola Junior College (PJC) undertook an analysis of enrollment to determine trends from the previous summer. Results of the analysis included the following: (1) PJC ended the term with 680 unadjusted fundable full-time equivalent (FFTE) students, a drop of 4% (n=-28) from the first…

Fiscal problems facing big-city schools have been exacerbated by several underlying problems and have also raised conceptual issues concerning higher government levels' involvement in dealing with the problems. Alternative policies, however, are being developed to handle the problems and questions. In many big-city districts, but chiefly those in…

Faced with an enrollment decline of 36 percent in the last three years, New England College (New Hampshire) has developed a long-range plan for making itself smaller. Changes which are being made include: (1) reducing the number of faculty; (2) reducing the amount of student housing; (3) adding another person to the fundraising staff; (4) offering…

Trends and projections for postsecondary enrollments in the United States are summarized. Between 1955 and 1970, degree credit enrollment more than tripled due to both a rapid rise in the population of college-age youth and an increase in the college participation rate. College attendance doubled between 1955 and 1965, and participation rates for…

Achieving enrollment goals continues to be a major administrative concern in higher education. Enrollment management can be assisted through the use of computerized planning and forecast models. Although commercially available Markov transition type curve fitting models have been developed and used, a microcomputer-based decision planning model…

Responses of colleges and universities to declining revenues and enrollments were investigated, based on a 1983 survey of 334 four-year institutions. Scalogram analysis was employed to determine whether there was a hierarchy of institutional responses to enrollment/revenue decline and whether declining and nondeclining institutions can be…

The status of Mexican Americans in higher education is addressed, along with the role played by testing and assessment, and educational prospects for Mexican American children. The importance of community colleges in the education of Mexican Americans is noted. Reasons for declining college enrollments for Hispanics are identified: high college…

Many rural school districts struggling with declining elementary school enrollments will soon face the more complex problems of declining high school enrollment. School districts with only one high school do not have the option of consolidation and must find innovative solutions to the problem of maintaining educational quality with dwindling…

This speech reviews the literature on school closings in the context of declining economic support. Declining school enrollment, coupled with declining funds (fiscal retrenchment), makes school district reform necessary. A school district in Seattle, Washington took approximately a decade to resolve these problems. A district planning commission's…

While it is not the intent of the paper to portray the rural school jurisdictions as completely riven and incapacitated by conflicting interests, a very strong implication emerging from studies of these school systems is that "integrative" management policies and strategies are needed to counteract the fragmentation which has been…

The two factors of live births and migration constitute the major determinants of the size and composition of the population for the provinces as well as for Canada as a whole. The decline in fertility has almost exactly offset the increase in the number of young women in the child-bearing age groups. The effective length of the reproductive…

This method of determining which elementary school to close involves the identification of a number of factors to be considered and the weighting of those factors according to importance. It involves five steps: establishing a precise reason or purpose for school closing, selecting factors to quantify this purpose, deciding on a weighting scheme…

This newsletter describes the role of principals in managing the effects of declining enrollment. Suggestions are provided regarding the decision-making process, staff reassignment, student transfer, curriculum modification, disposition of equipment and materials, and how to deal with parent and student concerns. The experiences of five school…

Chapter 2 in a book on school law discusses the reasons for reduction in force (RIF) and presents a set of model regulations for school districts as the best means of minimizing legal problems resulting from RIF. The reasons for RIF include declining student enrollments; reduced turnover among teachers; changes in programs; and more constrained…

The current period of enrollment decline offers school districts an ideal opportunity for program and facility reevaluation and long-range planning. Any long-range plan should evaluate current programs in light of statutory and educational trends, estimate existing facilities' ability to accommodate change, determine the community's potential…