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Combs, Adam – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2023
A common method of checking person-fit in Bayesian item response theory (IRT) is the posterior-predictive (PP) method. In recent years, more powerful approaches have been proposed that are based on resampling methods using the popular L*[subscript z] statistic. There has also been proposed a new Bayesian model checking method based on pivotal…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Goodness of Fit, Evaluation Methods, Monte Carlo Methods
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Tan, Teck Kiang – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2023
Researchers often have hypotheses concerning the state of affairs in the population from which they sampled their data to compare group means. The classical frequentist approach provides one way of carrying out hypothesis testing using ANOVA to state the null hypothesis that there is no difference in the means and proceed with multiple comparisons…
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Analysis, Guidelines
Brian T. Keller; Craig K. Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
A growing body of literature has focused on missing data methods that factorize the joint distribution into a part representing the analysis model of interest and a part representing the distributions of the incomplete predictors. Relatively little is known about the utility of this method for multilevel models with interactive effects. This study…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Monte Carlo Methods, Bias
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Xie, Belinda; Hayes, Brett – Cognitive Science, 2022
According to Bayesian models of judgment, testimony from independent informants has more evidential value than dependent testimony. Three experiments investigated learners' sensitivity to this distinction. Each experiment used a social version of the balls-and-urns task, in which participants judged which of two urns was the most likely source of…
Descriptors: Evidence, Decision Making, Task Analysis, Beliefs
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Fox, Julian; Osth, Adam F. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2022
In episodic memory research, there is a debate concerning whether decision-making in item recognition and source memory is better explained by models that assume all-or-none retrieval processes or continuous underlying strengths. One aspect in which these classes of models tend to differ is their predictions regarding the ability to retrieve…
Descriptors: Recognition (Psychology), Bayesian Statistics, Models, Research Design
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Tan, Teck Kiang – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2022
Power analysis based on the analytical t-test is an important aspect of a research study to determine the sample size required to detect the effect for the comparison of two means. The current paper presents a reader-friendly procedure for carrying out the t-test power analysis using the various R add-on packages. While there is a growing of R…
Descriptors: Programming Languages, Sample Size, Bayesian Statistics, Intervention
Ziqian Xu – Grantee Submission, 2022
With the prevalence of missing data in social science research, it is necessary to use methods for handling missing data. One framework in which data with missing values can still be used for parameter estimation is the Bayesian framework. In this tutorial, different missing data mechanisms including Missing Completely at Random, Missing at…
Descriptors: Research Problems, Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Data Analysis
Jihong Zhang – ProQuest LLC, 2022
Recently, Bayesian diagnostic classification modeling has been becoming popular in health psychology, education, and sociology. Typically information criteria are used for model selection when researchers want to choose the best model among alternative models. In Bayesian estimation, posterior predictive checking is a flexible Bayesian model…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Measurement, Models, Classification
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Joseph A. Rios; Jiayi Deng – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2025
To mitigate the potential damaging consequences of rapid guessing (RG), a form of noneffortful responding, researchers have proposed a number of scoring approaches. The present simulation study examines the robustness of the most popular of these approaches, the unidimensional effort-moderated (EM) scoring procedure, to multidimensional RG (i.e.,…
Descriptors: Scoring, Guessing (Tests), Reaction Time, Item Response Theory
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Anirudhan Badrinath; Zachary Pardos – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2025
Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is a well-established model for formative assessment, with optimization typically using expectation maximization, conjugate gradient descent, or brute force search. However, one of the flaws of existing optimization techniques for BKT models is convergence to undesirable local minima that negatively impact…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Problem Solving, Audience Response Systems
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Xiaojuan Zhang; Bing Cheng; Yu Zou; Yang Zhang – Journal of Speech, Language, and Hearing Research, 2025
Purpose: This meta-analysis study aimed to determine the optimal level of talker variability in training to maximize second-language speech learning. Method: We conducted a systematic search for studies comparing different levels of talker variability in nonnative speech training, published through July 2024. Two independent reviewers screened…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Bayesian Statistics, Second Language Learning, Language Acquisition
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Pilditch, Toby D.; Lagator, Sandra; Lagnado, David – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2021
How do we deal with unlikely witness testimonies? Whether in legal or everyday reasoning, corroborative evidence is generally considered a strong marker of support for the reported hypothesis. However, questions remain regarding how the prior probability, or base rate, of that hypothesis interacts with corroboration. Using a Bayesian network…
Descriptors: Evidence, Reliability, Logical Thinking, Probability
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Mangino, Anthony A.; Finch, W. Holmes – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2021
Oftentimes in many fields of the social and natural sciences, data are obtained within a nested structure (e.g., students within schools). To effectively analyze data with such a structure, multilevel models are frequently employed. The present study utilizes a Monte Carlo simulation to compare several novel multilevel classification algorithms…
Descriptors: Prediction, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Classification, Bayesian Statistics
Kristel Izquierdo – ProQuest LLC, 2021
Knowledge about the interior density distribution of a planetary body can constrain geophysical processes and reveal information about the origin and evolution of the body. Properties of this interior distribution can be inferred by analyzing gravity acceleration data sampled by orbiting satellites. Usually, the gravity data is complemented with…
Descriptors: Astronomy, Physics, Scientific Concepts, Algorithms
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Theresa Büchter; Andreas Eichler; Katharina Böcherer-Linder; Markus Vogel; Karin Binder; Stefan Krauss; Nicole Steib – Educational Studies in Mathematics, 2024
Previous studies on Bayesian situations, in which probabilistic information is used to update the probability of a hypothesis, have often focused on the calculation of a posterior probability. We argue that for an in-depth understanding of Bayesian situations, it is (apart from mere calculation) also necessary to be able to evaluate the effect of…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Logical Thinking, Elementary School Teachers, Secondary School Teachers
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