The authors attempt to locate predictor variables associated with the outcome of alcoholic treatment programs. Muscia's study focuses on the predictive potential of: (1) response to a GSR conditioning procedure; (2) several personality variables; and (3) age and IQ measures. Nine variables, reflecting diverse perspectives, were selected as a basis…

Part of a series of four pamphlets providing problems in probability and statistics taken from real-life situations, this booklet develops probability methods through random numbers, simulations, and simple probability models, and presents the idea of scatter and residuals for analyzing complex data. The pamphlet was designed for a student having…

Topics covered in the probability chapter of the sixth unit in this SMSG series of student texts are fair and unfair games, outcomes and events, tree diagrams, and finding and estimating probability. The measurement chapter includes a discussion of length, units in the British and metric systems, perimeter, angle measure, circumference,…

The teacher's guide for Unit 14 of this SMSG series covers the chapter on logic and the chapter on applications of probability and statistics. The overall purpose for each of the chapters is described, the prerequisite knowledge needed by students is specified, the mathematical development of each chapter is detailed, behavioral objectives are…

The relative power of the Mann-Whitney statistic, the t-statistic, the median test, a test based on exceedances (A,B), and two special cases of (A,B) the Tukey quick test and the revised Tukey quick test, was investigated via a Monte Carlo experiment. These procedures were compared across four population probability models: uniform, beta, normal,…

The mathematical derivation of the statistics used for inference in some linear models assumes that values of the independent variables are pre-selected such that these variables can be treated as fixed rather than random variables. This assumption is often disregarded when these models are utilized in research. This study is an investigation of…

A seven-day unit on probability used an experimental game-oriented approach, which allowed students the opportunity to draw conclusions from experiments in which interest was high. (MP)

Describes the difference between the approach of statistical probability and the deterministic approach to physical theories. Shows that it is near the truth to see physical theory as a hierarchical structure in which successively complex levels alternate between probabilistic and deterministic explanations. (Author/GA)

The decision to draw another card or stand pat in blackjack can be made by computing two simple probabilities. (MP)

A sequence of numbers from combinatorial theory called the Bell numbers is discussed, along with several problems and examples that demonstrate their usefulness. (MN)

Dr. Varga's description of the beginning of the Hungarian Project (primary mathematics) is recorded along with two examples of assignments to generate exploration and discussion involving probability. (MN)

The major intent of this research was to provide a further test of the relationships between physiological arousal and event probability by experimentally generating subjective expectancies for shock. The relationship of event probability to stress was discussed with respect to length of the anticipatory periods and methods used to establish…

Characteristics of the number seven, which relate to many different areas of mathematics, are discussed. (JT)

Investigates which formal principles govern subjective probability, and whether the validity of these principles depends on age. Results indicate that these principles are valid as principles of subjective probability for all age groups. (RWB)

Used four case studies of planned change to evaluate the effectiveness of the Probability of Adoption of Change model in predicting the probability of successful program implementation in higher education. Results provide support for the role of the variables defined in the model. (ABL)