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Lu, Yonggang; Zheng, Qiujie; Quinn, Daniel – Journal of Statistics and Data Science Education, 2023
We present an instructional approach to teaching causal inference using Bayesian networks and "do"-Calculus, which requires less prerequisite knowledge of statistics than existing approaches and can be consistently implemented in beginner to advanced levels courses. Moreover, this approach aims to address the central question in causal…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Learning Motivation, Calculus, Advanced Courses
Leahy, Joy; Walsh, Cathal – Research Synthesis Methods, 2019
If IPD is available for some or all trials in a network meta-analysis (NMA), then incorporating this IPD into an NMA is routinely considered to be preferable. However, the situation often arises where a researcher has IPD for trials concerning a particular treatment (eg, from a sponsor) but none for other trials. Therefore, one can reweight the…
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Meta Analysis, Bayesian Statistics, Network Analysis
How, Meng-Leong; Hung, Wei Loong David – Education Sciences, 2019
Artificial intelligence-enabled adaptive learning systems (AI-ALS) are increasingly being deployed in education to enhance the learning needs of students. However, educational stakeholders are required by policy-makers to conduct an independent evaluation of the AI-ALS using a small sample size in a pilot study, before that AI-ALS can be approved…
Descriptors: Stakeholders, Artificial Intelligence, Bayesian Statistics, Probability
Zhao, Hong; Hodges, James S.; Carlin, Bradley P. – Research Synthesis Methods, 2017
Network meta-analysis (NMA) combines direct and indirect evidence comparing more than 2 treatments. Inconsistency arises when these 2 information sources differ. Previous work focuses on inconsistency detection, but little has been done on how to proceed after identifying inconsistency. The key issue is whether inconsistency changes an NMA's…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Networks, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics
Wiens, Stefan; Nilsson, Mats E. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2017
Because of the continuing debates about statistics, many researchers may feel confused about how to analyze and interpret data. Current guidelines in psychology advocate the use of effect sizes and confidence intervals (CIs). However, researchers may be unsure about how to extract effect sizes from factorial designs. Contrast analysis is helpful…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Effect Size, Computation, Statistical Analysis
Sampaio, Cristina; Wang, Ranxiao Frances – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2017
Recall of remembered locations reliably reflects a compromise between a target's true position and its region's prototypical position. The effect is quite robust, and a standard interpretation for these data is that the metric and categorical codings blend in a Bayesian combinatory fashion. However, there has been no direct experimental evidence…
Descriptors: Spatial Ability, Memory, Bayesian Statistics, Probability
Karabatsos, George – Grantee Submission, 2017
This article introduces a Bayesian method for testing the axioms of additive conjoint measurement. The method is based on an importance sampling algorithm that performs likelihood-free, approximate Bayesian inference using a synthetic likelihood to overcome the analytical intractability of this testing problem. This new method improves upon…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Measurement, Statistical Analysis, Statistical Inference
Chen, Li-Ting; Andrade, Alejandro; Hanauer, Matthew James – AERA Online Paper Repository, 2017
Single-case design is a repeated-measures research approach for the study of the effect of an intervention, and its importance is increasingly being recognized in education and psychology. We propose a Bayesian approach for estimating intervention effects in SCD. A Bayesian inference does not rely on large sample theories and thus is particularly…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Research Design, Case Studies, Intervention
Douven, Igor; Mirabile, Patricia – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2018
There is a wealth of evidence that people's reasoning is influenced by explanatory considerations. Little is known, however, about the exact form this influence takes, for instance about whether the influence is unsystematic or because of people's following some rule. Three experiments investigate the descriptive adequacy of a precise proposal to…
Descriptors: Probability, Bayesian Statistics, Hypothesis Testing, Thinking Skills
O'Roark, Brian; Grant, William – Journal of Economic Education, 2018
The valuable insights of game theory sometimes remain out of reach for students who are overwhelmed by the subject's complexity. Comic book applications of game theory, with superheroes as players, can facilitate enthusiasm and classroom interaction to enhance the learning of game theory. Drawing from content in superhero movies and books, the…
Descriptors: Game Theory, Teaching Methods, Cartoons, Picture Books
Mendes, Felipe G.; Nascimento, Juarez V.; Souza, Edison R.; Collet, Carine; Milistetd, Michel; Côté, Jean; Carvalho, Humberto M. – High Ability Studies, 2018
The patterns of cumulated structured volleyball practice and other structured sports activities of elite adult Brazilian players, considering age of specialization in volleyball and achievement of international competition representing the national team, were examined using Bayesian multilevel models. Elite volleyball players (n = 78) with an…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Team Sports, Foreign Countries, Adults
Goldin, Ilya; Galyardt, April – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2018
Data from student learning provide learning curves that, ideally, demonstrate improvement in student performance over time. Existing data mining methods can leverage these data to characterize and improve the domain models that support a learning environment, and these methods have been validated both with already-collected data, and in…
Descriptors: Predictor Variables, Models, Learning Processes, Matrices
McAnally, Ken; Davey, Catherine; White, Daniel; Stimson, Murray; Mascaro, Steven; Korb, Kevin – Cognitive Science, 2018
Situation awareness is a key construct in human factors and arises from a process of situation assessment (SA). SA comprises the perception of information, its integration with existing knowledge, the search for new information, and the prediction of the future state of the world, including the consequences of planned actions. Causal models…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Air Transportation, Flight Training
Vuorre, Matti; Bolger, Niall – Grantee Submission, 2018
Statistical mediation allows researchers to investigate potential causal effects of experimental manipulations through intervening variables. It is a powerful tool for assessing the presence and strength of postulated causal mechanisms. Although mediation is used in certain areas of psychology, it is rarely applied in cognitive psychology and…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Cognitive Psychology, Neurosciences
Nahar, Khaledun; Shova, Boishakhe Islam; Ria, Tahmina; Rashid, Humayara Binte; Islam, A. H. M. Saiful – Education and Information Technologies, 2021
Information is everywhere in a hidden and scattered way. It becomes useful when we apply Data mining to extracts the hidden, meaningful, and potentially useful patterns from these vast data resources. Educational data mining ensures a quality education by analyzing educational data based on various aspects. In this paper, we have analyzed the…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, College Students, Engineering Education, Data Collection