The ability estimates of Gibbs sampling and the magnitudes of the posterior standard deviations were investigated. Item parameters of the Q-E intelligence test (J. Fraenkel and N. Wallen, 2000) for 44 examinees were obtained using Gibbs sampling, marginal Bayesian estimation, and BILOG. Two normal priors were used in item parameter estimation.…

This paper focuses on handling measurement error in predictor variables using item response theory (IRT). Measurement error is of great important in assessment of theoretical constructs, such as intelligence or the school climate. Measurement error is modeled by treating the predictors as unobserved latent variables and using the normal ogive…

The purpose of this paper is to show how a Bayesian analysis can be conducted quite simply in the completely random design (including factorial arrangements) by dealing with planned orthogonal comparisons of the treatment means. (Author)

Fisher's two-group discriminant function has been generalized in two different ways for the case of three or more groups, leading to confusion in the literature. The precise functional relation between the two functions is derived, and the interpretation of the two functions is discussed. An example is provided. (Author/CTM)

An analysis of repeated measures designs is proposed that uses an empirical Bayes estimator of the covariance matrix. The proposed analysis behaves like a univariate analysis when sample size is small or sphericity nearly satisfied, but behaves like multivariate analysis when sample size is large or sphericity is strongly violated. (SLD)

Explores posterior analysis in estimating factor score in a confirmatory factor analysis model with polytomous, censored or truncated data, and studies the accuracy of Bayesian estimates through simulation. Results support these Bayesian estimates for statistical inference. (SLD)

Developed a Bayesian approach for a general multigroup nonlinear factor analysis model that simultaneously obtains joint Bayesian estimates of the factor scores and the structural parameters subjected to some constraints across different groups. (SLD)

Based on the Gaussian model, methods for using measurements that depend on the true attribute to compute rankings are proposed and compared. Measurements based on an empirical Bayes model produce estimates that differ from ranking observed data. Ranking methods are illustrated with school achievement data. (TJH)

Experimental data on human reasoning in hypothesis-testing tasks is reassessed in light of a Bayesian model of optimal data selection in inductive hypothesis testing. The rational analysis provided by the model suggests that reasoning in such tasks may be rational rather than subject to systematic bias. (SLD)

Presents a hierarchical Bayes approach to modeling parameter heterogeneity in generalized linear models. The approach combines the flexibility of semiparametric latent class models that assume common parameters for each subpopulation and the parsimony of random effects models that assume normal distributions for the regression parameters.…

The Gibbs sampling algorithms presented by M. H. Seltzer (1993) are fully generalized to a broad range of settings in which vectors of random regression parameters in the hierarchical model are assumed multivariate normally or multivariate "t" distributed across groups. The use of a fully Bayesian approach is discussed. (SLD)

We present a framework for the rational analysis of elemental causal induction--learning about the existence of a relationship between a single cause and effect--based upon causal graphical models. This framework makes precise the distinction between causal structure and causal strength: the difference between asking whether a causal relationship…

This study applies a Bayesian latent variable analysis to the task of determining rankings of universities in the UK and US, on the basis of a set of quality-related measures. It estimates the degree of uncertainty in the rankings and permits the assessment of statistically significant differences across universities. It also provides a…

Several norms for how people should assess a question's usefulness have been proposed, notably Bayesian diagnosticity, information gain (mutual information), Kullback-Liebler distance, probability gain (error minimization), and impact (absolute change). Several probabilistic models of previous experiments on categorization, covariation assessment,…