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ERIC Number: EJ770027
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2003
Pages: 4
Abstractor: Author
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0883-2323
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
A Note on the Treatment of Uncertainty in Economics and Finance
Carilli, Anthony M.; Dempster, Gregory M.
Journal of Education for Business, v79 n2 p99-102 Nov-Dec 2003
The treatment of uncertainty in the business classroom has been dominated by the application of risk theory to the utility-maximization framework. Nonetheless, the relevance of the standard risk model as a positive description of economic decision making often has been called into question in theoretical work. In this article, the authors offer an instructional approach that recognizes the reality of decision making by agents who "know" that they do not know enough to form complete probability distributions describing all possible outcomes of their actions. Students must recognize the fundamental difference between risk and the broader concept of uncertainty. This realistic presentation of the uncertainty problem will allow undergraduate students to better understand the assumptions involved in modeling and their relevance to economic and financial problems. (Contains 2 tables and 5 notes.)
Heldref Publications. 1319 Eighteenth Street, NW, Washington, DC 20036-1802. Tel: 800-365-9753; Tel: 202-296-6267; Fax: 202-293-6130; e-mail: subscribe@heldref.org; Web site: http://www.heldref.org
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: Higher Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A