Simultaneous Over- and Underconfidence: The Role of Error in Judgment Processes.

Erev, Ido; And Others

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Peer reviewed

ERIC Number: EJ492287

Record Type: Journal

Publication Date: 1994

Pages: N/A

Abstractor: N/A

ISBN: N/A

ISSN: ISSN-0033-295X

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Simultaneous Over- and Underconfidence: The Role of Error in Judgment Processes.

Erev, Ido; And Others

Psychological Review, v101 n3 p519-27 Jul 1994

Revision-of-opinion literature has generally found subjective probability judgments to be conservative (underconfident), whereas calibration literature has generally found judgment to be overconfident. Reanalysis of three previous studies shows how such data can coexist and reveals the effects of methodology on judgment interpretations. (SLD)

Descriptors: Conservatism, Decision Making, Evaluative Thinking, Literature Reviews, Probability, Theory Practice Relationship

Publication Type: Reports - Evaluative; Journal Articles

Education Level: N/A

Audience: N/A

Language: English

Sponsor: N/A

Authoring Institution: N/A

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Author Affiliations: N/A