Smoothing Forecasting Methods for Academic Library Circulations: An Evaluation and Recommendation.

Brooks, Terrence A.; Forys, John W., Jr.

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Peer reviewed

ERIC Number: EJ337838

Record Type: Journal

Publication Date: 1986

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Smoothing Forecasting Methods for Academic Library Circulations: An Evaluation and Recommendation.

Brooks, Terrence A.; Forys, John W., Jr.

Library and Information Science Research, v8 n1 p29-39 Jan-Mar 1986

Circulation time-series data from 50 midwest academic libraries were used to test 110 variants of 8 smoothing forecasting methods. Data and methodologies and illustrations of two recommended methods--the single exponential smoothing method and Brown's one-parameter linear exponential smoothing method--are given. Eight references are cited. (EJS)

Descriptors: Academic Libraries, Futures (of Society), Higher Education, Library Administration, Library Circulation, Library Planning, Library Statistics, Library Surveys, Prediction, Research Methodology, Statistical Analysis, Tables (Data)

Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research

Education Level: N/A

Audience: Researchers

Language: English

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