Ambiguity and Uncertainty in Probabilistic Inference.

Einhorn, Hillel J.; Hogarth, Robin M.

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Peer reviewed

ERIC Number: EJ324680

Record Type: Journal

Publication Date: 1985

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Ambiguity and Uncertainty in Probabilistic Inference.

Einhorn, Hillel J.; Hogarth, Robin M.

Psychological Review, v92 n4 p433-61 Oct 1985

A descriptive model of how people make judgments under ambiguity is proposed. Two factors are reflected in the model: (1) the amount of ambiguity, which affects the size of the simulation, and (2) one's attitudes toward ambiguity. The model is tested in four experiments using individual and group analyses. (Author/LMO)

Descriptors: Ambiguity, Decision Making, Evaluative Thinking, Goodness of Fit, Higher Education, Hypothesis Testing, Individual Differences, Inferences, Mathematical Models, Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Probability, Psychological Studies, Young Adults

Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research

Education Level: N/A

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Language: English

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