Peer reviewedERIC Number: EJ154635
Record Type: CIJE
Publication Date: 1976
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An Assessment of the Utility of Suicide Prediction
MacKinnon, Douglas R.; Farberow, Norman L.
Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior, 6, 2, 86-91, Sum 76
Applying basic decision theory on a neuropsychiatric hospital population indicates that researchers using a prediction schedule will be unlikely to predict a future suicide beyond a 20 percent level of efficiency. Eliminating false negatives was more practical than eliminating false positives in increasing the efficiency of a predictive schedule. (Author)
Descriptors: Decision Making, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables, Psychopathology, Research Projects, Suicide
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