ERIC Number: EJ1479967
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2025-Sep
Pages: 27
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0162-3737
EISSN: EISSN-1935-1062
Available Date: 0000-00-00
Teacher Shortages: A Framework for Understanding and Predicting Vacancies
Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, v47 n3 p703-729 2025
We develop a conceptual framework for understanding and predicting teacher shortages at the state, region, district, and school levels. We then empirically examine how teacher shortages vary geographically and by subject using data on unfilled teaching positions in Tennessee traditional public schools during Fall 2019. We find that teacher staffing challenges are highly localized, causing shortages and surpluses to coexist. Aggregate descriptions of staffing challenges mask considerable variation between schools and subjects within districts. Schools with fewer local early-career teachers, smaller district salary increases, worse working conditions, and higher historical attrition rates have higher vacancy rates. Our findings illustrate why viewpoints about, and solutions to, shortages depend critically on whether one takes an aggregate or local perspective.
Descriptors: Teacher Shortage, Faculty Mobility, Predictor Variables, Public School Teachers, Causal Models, Beginning Teachers, Teacher Salaries, Teaching Conditions, Teacher Supply and Demand, Barriers, Differences, Regional Characteristics, Labor Market
SAGE Publications. 2455 Teller Road, Thousand Oaks, CA 91320. Tel: 800-818-7243; Tel: 805-499-9774; Fax: 800-583-2665; e-mail: journals@sagepub.com; Web site: https://sagepub-com.bibliotheek.ehb.be
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: Tennessee
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: 1Old Dominion University; 2Brown University; 3University of Michigan; 4Vanderbilt University

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