ERIC Number: EJ1468379
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2025-May
Pages: 13
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0013-189X
EISSN: EISSN-1935-102X
Available Date: 0000-00-00
Are Students on Track? Comparing the Predictive Validity of Administrative and Survey Measures of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills for Long-Term Outcomes
Educational Researcher, v54 n4 p213-225 2025
Education leaders need valid metrics to predict students' long-term success. We use a unique data set with cognitive skills, self-regulation, behavior, course performance, and test scores for eighth-grade students from a Northeast school district. We link these data to students' high school outcomes, college enrollment, persistence, and on-time degree completion. Survey-based cognitive and self-regulation measures predict high school and college outcomes. However, these relationships become small and lose statistical significance when test scores, grade point average, and an absences-suspensions index are included in the predictive models. For leaders hoping to identify the best on-track indicators for college completion, the information collected in student longitudinal data systems better predicts both short- and long-term educational outcomes than the survey-based self-regulation and cognitive measures.
Descriptors: Middle School Students, Grade 8, Student Surveys, Self Evaluation (Individuals), Predictive Validity, Thinking Skills, Soft Skills, Long Term Memory, Graduation Rate, Cognitive Development, Longitudinal Studies, College Enrollment, Time to Degree, Academic Persistence, Strategic Planning, Educational Policy
SAGE Publications. 2455 Teller Road, Thousand Oaks, CA 91320. Tel: 800-818-7243; Tel: 805-499-9774; Fax: 800-583-2665; e-mail: journals@sagepub.com; Web site: https://sagepub-com.bibliotheek.ehb.be
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Junior High Schools; Middle Schools; Secondary Education; Elementary Education; Grade 8; Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: Institute of Education Sciences (ED)
Authoring Institution: N/A
IES Funded: Yes
Grant or Contract Numbers: R305B150010
Department of Education Funded: Yes
Author Affiliations: 1Brown University, Providence, RI; 2Harvard University, Cambridge, MA