ERIC Number: EJ1383205
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2023-Mar
Pages: 13
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: EISSN-1941-3432
Available Date: N/A
Repairing Model-Drift in Enrollment Management
Rodriguez, AE; Rosen, John
Research in Higher Education Journal, v43 Mar 2023
The various empirical models built for enrollment management, operations, and program evaluation purposes may have lost their predictive power as a result of the recent collective impact of COVID restrictions, widespread social upheaval, and the shift in educational preferences. This statistical artifact is known as model drifting, data-shift, covariate-shift. Succinctly, these events drove changes in the stationarity of the target variable and the predictors. The result is a student body with unknown performance qualities entirely distinct from previous cohorts. This study explains and illustrates: (1) how to test for academic model drift in academe; and (2) sets forth two methods used to repair vitiated student-body performance properties. Formally, it frames the data-drift outcome as a One Class problem which allows the deployment of two well-known One-Class algorithms: Support Vector Machines and Isolated Random Forests. The study shows their use in reconstructing a representative sample of the student-body
Descriptors: Models, Enrollment Management, School Holding Power, Data, Algorithms, Sampling, Statistical Bias, Research Problems, Statistical Distributions, College Admission
Academic and Business Research Institute. 147 Medjool Trail, Ponte Vedra, FL 32081. Tel: 904-435-4330; e-mail: editorial.staff@aabri.com; Web site: http://www.aabri.com
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A