ERIC Number: EJ1262139
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2020
Pages: 28
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-1934-5747
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Improving the Use of Aggregate Longitudinal Data on School Performance to Assess Program Effectiveness: Evidence from Three within Study Comparisons
Hallberg, Kelly; Williams, Ryan; Swanlund, Andrew
Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, v13 n3 p518-545 2020
More aggregate data on school performance is available than ever before, opening up new possibilities for applied researchers interested in assessing the effectiveness of school-level interventions quickly and at a relatively low cost by implementing comparative interrupted times series (CITS) designs. We examine the extent to which effect estimates conducted using a CITS approach correspond to a randomized trial, varying (1) the approach to modeling the pre-intervention trend, (2) the approach used to select comparison cases, and (3) the number of years between the implementation of the intervention and measurement of the outcome of interest. Our analyses demonstrate that CITS can come close to replicating experimental findings. However, analytic decisions matter. Picking a comparison group that accounts for local context, past performance, and school demographics can reduce bias and reliance on model selection. Likewise, fitting nonlinear trend models can lead to substantial bias in short time series analyses. Finally, the performance of CITS declines for outcomes measured further after the introduction of the intervention.
Descriptors: Data Use, Research Methodology, Program Effectiveness, Design, Data Analysis, Program Evaluation, Comparative Analysis, Longitudinal Studies, Educational Research, Intervention, Sampling, Effect Size, Randomized Controlled Trials
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: Institute of Education Sciences (ED)
Authoring Institution: N/A
IES Funded: Yes
Grant or Contract Numbers: R305D140030
Author Affiliations: N/A