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ERIC Number: EJ082144
Record Type: CIJE
Publication Date: 1973
Pages: N/A
Abstractor: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Probability Distributions of School Enrollment Predictions Using Monte Carlo Simulation
Denham, Carolyn H.
Journal of Educational Data Processing, 10, 3, 1-9, 73
A major problem in most predictions of school enrollment is the forecaster's failure to express adequately his certainty or uncertainty in his estimates. Describes a method whereby a forecaster can prepare probability distributions of enrollment predictions. The Monte Carlo computer simulation calculates enrollments by the multivariable method, computes probabilities, and prints the output. (Author)
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