ERIC Number: ED672196
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2023-Jul-12
Pages: 87
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: 0000-00-00
Evaluation of a Predictive Model -- Montana Early Warning System. Technical Report
Grantee Submission
Research over the monitoring of at-risk youth. Behavioral interventions have been the primary focus of this literature past two decades has focused on one aspect of dropout prevention: early identification an however, there is renewed emphasis placed on attendance and academic risk factors under ESSA. Recognizing a need to promote early identification, stakeholders within the Montana Office of Public Instruction (OPI) framed a comprehensive system of supports in FY 2013, principally a diagnostic tool, which allows for the linkage of data to intervention and the ability to target resources where the intervention is most likely to be effective. Such supports became known as the Montana Early Warning System (EWS). This evaluation is based on three separate tasks. The first of which is an analysis of the functional process of predicting dropout and graduation. Does the system predict as reliably dropout and graduation? We know the system predicts dropout well based on the process of refinement of the model. However, we do not know if the model reliably predicts graduation. The second task focuses on analyzing the degree of implementation of the program by creating a classification of low, medium, and high adopters. It further analyzes mediating and moderating factors to the implementation, the quality of the tool, the role of interventions, and the effectiveness of the tool. The third task is primarily quantitative and focuses on subgroups identified in the analysis.
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: Elementary Secondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Authoring Institution: Montana Office of Public Instruction
Identifiers - Location: Montana
IES Funded: Yes
Grant or Contract Numbers: R305S210011
Department of Education Funded: Yes
Author Affiliations: 1Montana Office of Public Instruction