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ERIC Number: ED621331
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2021
Pages: 8
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Exploring Predicting Performance of Engineering Students Using Deep Learning
Zualkernan, Imran
International Association for Development of the Information Society, Paper presented at the International Association for Development of the Information Society (IADIS) International Conference on Cognition and Exploratory Learning in the Digital Age (CELDA) (18th, Virtual, Oct 13-15, 2021)
A significant amount of research has gone into predicting student performance and many studies have been conducted to predict why students drop out. A variety of data including digital footprints, socio-economic data, financial data, and psychological aspects have been used to predict student performance at the test, course, or program level. Fairly good prediction results have been achieved using both traditional machine learning and more recently deep learning methods. While using diverse sets of data has achieved good results, this data is often difficult and expensive to collect, and may have privacy-related issues. This paper explores the extent to which only prior performance data readily available with registrars in most Universities can be used to predict student performance in future terms. Twenty term data from 789 students enrolled an engineering program at an American University were used to train long term short term (LSTM), Bi-directional LSTM and Gated Reference Units (GRU) models to predict student performance in future terms. The results are that all three types of models were able to reasonably predict the next term's performance (F1-score of about 0.70) regardless of the number of terms a student had spent the University. The models generally did not overfit. The prediction was reasonable until about trying to predict performance on seventh term in the future, but the performance dropped beyond this point primarily due to lack of sufficient data (F1-score of about 0.2). [For the full proceedings, see ED621108.]
International Association for the Development of the Information Society. e-mail: secretariat@iadis.org; Web site: http://www.iadisportal.org
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A