ERIC Number: ED259692
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1984
Pages: 141
Abstractor: N/A
ISBN: ISBN-0-913317-18-7
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Futures Research and the Strategic Planning Process: Implications for Higher Education. ASHE-ERIC Higher Education Research Report No. 9, 1984.
Morrison, James L.; And Others
The use of futures research to improve a college's ability to deal with changes brought about by social, economic, political, and technological developments is discussed, with attention to new planning strategies and forecasting methods. While traditional long-range planning tracks and forecasts the institution's internal development, strategic planning considers a range of possible societal conditions that may influence education, as well as the potential effects of different policies. The technique of environmental scanning, which is derived from futures research, is an integral part of strategic planning. The environmental scanning process and the following evaluation and forecasting methods are explained, with examples and charts/illustrations: impact network; probability-impact chart; individual judgmental forecasting; mathematical trend extrapolation (e.g., regression, time series); group forecasting (e.g., the Delphi technique); cross-impact models; scenarios; and policy impact analysis. Key stages in the development of public issues, and lessons learned in the corporate world are also considered, along with suggestions for developing a strategic planning process within an existing organization. (SW)
Descriptors: Change Strategies, College Planning, Delphi Technique, Educational Policy, Futures (of Society), Higher Education, Long Range Planning, Mathematical Models, Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Statistical Analysis, Trend Analysis
Association for the Study of Higher Education, One Dupont Circle, Suite 630, Department PR-9, Washington, DC 20036 ($7.50, nonmembers; $6.00, members).
Publication Type: ERIC Publications
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: National Inst. of Education (ED), Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Association for the Study of Higher Education.; ERIC Clearinghouse on Higher Education, Washington, DC.
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A