ERIC Number: ED088462
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1973
Pages: 129
Abstractor: N/A
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Information In 1985; A Forecasting Study of Information Needs and Resources.
Anderla, Georges
As a part of the program of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Information Policy Group, this report is intended to contribute to discussions of policy formulation in the field of information. The author presents a quantitative retrospect of the group of scientific literature and forecasts the future growth of the literature by extrapolation. A scenario technique based on Delphi surveys is used to predict automation in the knowledge transfer process. The morphology of the growth of information is examined, and a general diagnosis and recommendations are offered. In the author's opinion, the problems of information transfer have been largely underestimated. He predicts a great technological innovation and revolutionary change from 1980-90 will have a profound impact on society and insists upon an immediate effort to set objectives and priorities. He recommends and provides guidelines for setting up international machinery for monitoring and assessment and an Institute for Information Science and Technology for training purposes. The OECD is encouraged to take the lead in the formulation of policies, survey research, and technological coordination. (JG)
Descriptors: Automation, Data Processing, Futures (of Society), Information Dissemination, Information Processing, Information Science, International Organizations, Policy Formation, Scientific Personnel
OECD Publications Center, Suite 1207, 1750 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20006 ($3.75)
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Authoring Institution: Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris (France).
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