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ERIC Number: ED087806
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1973-Oct
Pages: 17
Abstractor: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
The Application of Bayes' Formula to Expectancy Tables.
Powers, James E.
Recently the application of Bayesian statistical procedures within the field of guidance and counseling has been receiving attention. This paper justifies and illustrates a simple, direct application of Bayes' Formula to expectancy tables. To make the application a counselor must specify prior probabilities that a student will attain success (defined appropriately). He may then take the probabilities within the expectancy table as likelihoods, apply Bayes' formula and obtain a posterior distribution of success for that student. This procedure allows a counselor the advantage of bringing to bear his personal knowledge of those students with whom he works. It will enable him to consider such diverse things as whether a student is an over-achiever, has just recovered from an extended illness or even the fact that there was a death in the student's family recently. Hopefully, the method will allow counselors to better aid their clients. A complete example demonstrating the application is included. (Author)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A
Note: Paper presented at Northeastern Educational Research Association Meeting (Ellenville, New York, October, 1973)