Serious social and economic consequences affect the local and national levels when students drop out of school. Research has shown that collaboration among schools, families, and communities in the academic progression of students can decrease their drop out probability. The author presents findings related to a qualitative study conducted in…

The authors report 7 experiments indicating that conditional predictions--the assessed probability that a certain outcome will occur given a certain condition--tend to be markedly inflated. The results suggest that this inflation derives in part from backward activation in which the target outcome highlights aspects of the condition that are…

A description of the development of ideas in which the game of chess is discussed in terms of a mathematical relation between the chess pieces and the squares on the chessboard. (Author/HB)

The problem of selecting (from several bionomial populations) the one with the highest probability is discussed in this brief article. Several approximate solutions are offered and the solution is extended to bivariate correlation. (Author/JKS)

Here the year by year issue of U.S. patents since 1836 is used to correct for growth their apparent aging, as obtained by a synchronous study of citations made by (a) U.S. patent examiners and (b) periodicals. Apparent and corrected aging are treated in terms of conditional probabilities. (Author)

This article is based on a thesis submitted by the first author to Emory University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the MA degree. (Author)

In many situations in education and psychology it is desired to select from k binomial populations the one having the largest probability of success. This paper describes a two-stage procedure for accomplishing this goal. (Author/CTM)

Proposed a taxonomy of latent structure assumptions for probability matrix decomposition (PMD) that includes the original PMD model and a three-way extension of the multiple classification latent class model. Simulation study results show the usefulness of the taxonomy. (SLD)

Discusses simultaneous inference, term for techniques that have been designed to limit the probability of one or more false rejections of null hypotheses (Type I errors) for a set of significance tests. Presents and reviews some of the better-known simultaneous inference techniques. (NB)

Explains the use of Strahan's Consistency Index to manage the occurrence of ties in Holland's occupational type codes. (SK)

I show that among women likely to use welfare, movers move to higher-benefit states. I also find that the probability likely welfare users will move at all is lower in higher-benefit states. This effect is concentrated early in the life cycle, as theory predicts. I construct a theoretical framework to measure the impact of welfare migration on…