Describes a mathematical model used in statistical prediction. Model is derived from known independent continuously variable quantities having the same distribution. (RS)

This article evaluates power and Type I error probabilities for a modified Fisher exact test for homogeneity of response probabilities in 2 x 2 tables. The continuity-corrected Fisher statistic is more powerful than the uncorrected Fisher exact test, while it is less often nonconservatively biased than the Pearson chi-square. (Author/RD)

The commonly accepted idea that the only rational measure of the worth of a gamble is its expected value or some subjective counterpart such as expected utility is examined. Also discussed are the changes called for in theories of rational choice when prescriptions of rational models violate common sense. (Author/GK)

Lambda and kappa coefficients of nominal scale association are developed for research hypotheses that involve predictions of modality, agreement, or some theoretically specified configuration. The proposed new coefficient is offered as an alternative to Goodman and Kruskal's lambda. (Author/CTM)

Describes a modified version of the tree diagram used to make probability more meaningful. (MKR)

One interpretation of the Pearson product-moment correlation ("r"), correlation as the probability of originating from common descent, important to the genetic measurement of inbreeding, is examined. The conditions under which "r" can be interpreted as the probability of "identity by descent" are specified, and the…

A k-dimensional multivariate normal distribution is made discrete by partitioning the k-dimensional Euclidean space with rectangular grids. The probability integrals over the partitioned cubes forms a k-dimensional contingency table with ordered categories. A loglinear model with main effects plus two-way interactions provides an approximation for…

Considers how the order of documents in information retrieval responses are determined and introduces a method that uses a probabilistic model of a document set where documents are regarded as states of a Markov chain and where transition probabilities are directly proportional to similarities between documents. (Author/LRW)

Illustrates procedures for prediction analysis in 2 X 2 contingency tables through the analyses of solutions of six types of problems associated with the acquisition of fractions. Reviews and extends confidence interval procedures previously proposed for an index of predictive efficiency of implication hypotheses. Compares frequentist coverage…

Argues that informetrics needs a rigorous mathematical basis and that informetric processes can be adequately describes within a standard probabilistic framework with stochastic modeling offering a more productive approach than other methods. Highlights include Lotka's Law; robustness and multiauthorship; and resilience and the random component.…

In Experiment 1, 6 adults with mild mental retardation were taught 3 overlapping conditional discriminations in a linear series structure, establishing the possibility of the emergence of 2 stimulus equivalence classes of 4 stimuli per class. Training employed balanced trial types in which the discriminative stimuli were presented in fixed pairs…