Baseline enrollment projections for New York State are presented, and various events that could alter the projections are examined. Almost all institutions will probably experience some enrollment decline, but the magnitude of the decline will vary across and within types of institutions. Possible sources of students are examined to encourage…

A research project underway at the University of Arizona is described, and the usefulness of the national data system of the Higher Education General Information Survey (HEGIS) to institutional researchers, as well as some drawbacks of the system, are considered. The need for institutions to have data on enrollment, budgets, and faculty/students…

Analysis of demographic data is utilized in this report to trace the relationship between public expenditure and school enrollment in Ontario and to predict the direction of educational expenditure in light of projected enrollment trends. The report shows that inflation, changes in educational policy, and increases in teacher salaries, rather than…

It is estimated that Utah will need to spend $1.7 billion for new school construction during the next decade, and that this should be concentrated mainly in a few rapidly growing districts. The projection of school construction need represents a six-fold increase during the coming decade; however, assessed valuation (the measure of a school…

Two quantitative enrollment projection techniques and the methods used by researchers at the Ohio Board of Regents (OBR) are discussed. Two quantitative approaches that are typically used for enrollment projections are curve-fitting techniques and causal models. Many state forecasters use curve-fitting techniques, a popular approach because only…

This chapter of "The Best of the Best of ERIC," Volume 2, contains 15 summaries of documents and journal articles on declining enrollments, all of which are indexed in either "Resources in Education" or "Current Index to Journals in Education." The materials included deal with various aspects of this topic, such as…

This essay explores the issues arising from enrollment decline by examining the local school district context in which these issues must ultimately be resolved. The first section of this paper suggests that fluctuation in enrollment should not be treated separately from the continuously changing economic, political, and social environment of the…

The current flux of conditions associated with the slow growth of enrollment admittedly makes projecting enrollment to the year 2000 highly speculative. The only way this process can be handled is by generating several conceptually meaningful series of enrollment projections. The three sets of enrollment projections in this report are based on…

This bulletin, concerned mainly with the educational problems in developing lands, focuses on school development, the future of education, and the schools that will have to be built to meet the needs of the future. The report deals with problems arising from the present rates of dropout in traditional primary education, and proposes possible…

This paper is intended to stimulate research into the policy consequences of declining school enrollment and to provoke discussion of possible policy alternatives. The paper is organized in three sections. The first section presents a summary of public school enrollment projections for Illinois, based on a 1974 study by the State Department of…

With some justification, the inability to answer most of the important questions in higher education is due to the lack of necessary information. But careful examination of our many faceted questions suggests that more information may not be the only answer. The National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS) has found other…

In August 1972, Kirkwood Community College began a research project to: (1) ascertain population and enrollment trends by various age groups for each of Iowa's 15 school areas and for the State as a whole; (2) ascertain potential enrollment by categories of students; (3) develop awareness of the relation of population and enrollment changes to…

In order to project public postsecondary enrollments, the total enrollments for all the institutions in the state, both public and private and independent, needed to be considered. Data for all Indiana institutions were collected for freshmen, sophomore, junior, senior, other, professional and graduate levels. Individual institutions and…

This document explores the feasibility of consolidating three North Carolina school districts into a single administrative unit. Factors analyzed include future population and enrollment growth, existing buildings and school building needs, program offerings, staff qualifications, administrative organization, and financial considerations of…

Too often building facilities use yesterday's materials and methods to solve yeaterday's educational problems. The solution is to use newly available technologies to build facilities that will respond to changing patterns in education and reduce the frustrating amounts of time and money lavished on each project. The most important consideration…