With the decline of enrollment at a number of community colleges there is a demand for accurate enrollment projections, yet enrollment is increasingly difficult to forecast. Student body composition has changed markedly from the traditional 18 year old group as the percentage of women and part-time students and students' ages have increased. Also,…

A first draft of a School District-Census Geo-Reference File for Illinois for 1980 has been completed. In this file each census enumeration district or block group is matched with the appropriate school district or districts. Companion files have also been developed for community college districts, area vocational education districts, and for a…

Three counties in eastern Utah's Uintah Basin face the likelihood of rapid growth because of planned oil shale and tar sands development in the area. This seven-part report describes a federally-funded, community-based project to plan for expected impacts of the energy developments on Uintah Basin education. After an introductory overview, the…

The kind of data useful to a statewide planning agency is considered, with focus on Illinois, and attention is directed to the use of these data once generated, including resulting problems. Illinois is currently engaged in the conceptual design of a computerized management information system that will contain as a subset the State Level…

The history of a higher education demand assessment program in Manitoba is outlined, beginning with a sharp dip in enrollment in 1970. A three-year project was begun with three snapshot surveys of grade 12 decision-making in February, May, and June. The second year involved two snapshots, and the third used only one. During this time, attitudes…

Population trends will have a significant impact on educators' decision making, not only because of declining enrollment, but also because employment patterns and staffing in schools and colleges will be affected. Among the factors that educators must contend with are: (1) The birth rate has been increasing slowly since 1974; (2) The reduction in…

This annotated bibliography reflects an attempt to indicate the range and quality of published responses to the complex phenomenon of declining enrollments in elementary and secondary schools. It is intended to suggest sources of practical information and advice and to provide a larger context for administrators coping with the effects of decline…

This small study provides information on the numbers of doctorates in philosophy, history and English literature that universities in Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington and Wyoming expect to award between 1980 and 1982. A brief survey form was mailed to the heads of…

Two methods were used to project college and university enrollment in South Carolina: the age ratio method, which correlates college attendance with the population of traditional college age; and the cohort survival method, using historical data on the progression of students from high school to and through college. The projections indicate that…

Background is given for the state-level adult education planning process, developed in response to the need for program direction; definition of the relationship of adult education to other vocational and adult general education institutions; and delineation, articulation, and elimination of unnecessary duplication. Focus is on the Adult Education…

The use of data on longitudinal student attendance patterns to determine variances, and hence confidence bounds, on student enrollment forecasts, in addition to finding the forecasts themselves, is demonstrated. The formulation of the enrollment model based on longitudinal student attendance patterns is described step by step, presenting the…

Extensive tables, figures, and data summaries outline the following components of tentative (as of November 1978) 10-year enrollment projections (1980-89) for Montgomery College (Maryland): (1) high school graduates--immediate enrollment, delayed enrollment, early graduations, private and parochial school graduations, and early placement students;…

To determine the function and status of post-secondary vocational education, a literature review and nine-state survey were used in projecting the post-secondary educational needs and trends in New Mexico for 1980. Data indicated: (1) Vocational schools had a mean beginning enrollment of 192 with a projected growth of 411 by 1966, (2) The average…

The administrative provisions of the Texas plan for vocational education are presented. Information is provided concerning the State board; public hearings; qualifications, preparation, and development of professional personnel; program evaluation; State reports; cooperative arrangements; vocational education under contract; construction…

The Canadian Department of Manpower and Immigration is presently involved in occupaitonal forecasting, i.e., projecting the supply and demand of individuals in various occupational categories. This report is intended to provide data on the output of skilled manpower from the community colleges in Canada, to be used in occupational supply…