A study estimated effects of a $150 fee increase per semester, without aid package adjustments, on within-year persistence at a large urban university. Institutional enrollment projections were accomplished using price-response measures derived from earlier research. It was found that both undergraduate and graduate student enrollment were…

A Department of Education report projects a 13 percent increase in the number of college students in 2002, increased numbers of elementary and secondary school children, and a greater increase for female than for male college students. A table presents specific projections by year for student type, institutional type, degree type, and number of…

Refines the cohort survival method for projecting student enrollment. Tests its effectiveness with 30 Maine school districts. The refinement empirically searches for optimal values of number of years of history to use in averaging, weights to place on the ratios, and linear versus exponential distribution of weights across ratios. (SLD)

Refutes criticisms by L. G. Carr and D. J. Ziegler of the author's predictions concerning mandatory busing in Norfolk, Virginia. Charges that Carr and Ziegler ignored or miscalculated statistical evidence. Concludes that canceling forced busing would have brought White students back to secondary schools, as it did to elementary schools. (SG)

Enrollment planning is the basis of all school system planning. Focuses on assessing the impact of a choice plan on student enrollment planning. Issues involved include home schooling, school employees' choice, and private kindergarten programs. Administrators are advised to evaluate existing forecasting methodologies. (MLF)

Three models for calculating college student retention rates and predicting enrollments are examined: (1) the Cohort Ratio Model; (2) the Longitudinal Persistence Model; and (3) the Markov Process Model. The last is seen as more encompassing, with wider applicability range, and useful in tracking student change in major and movement in and out of…

Reports on plans for new "race-blind" entrance criteria at the 10 public universities in Florida. Plans call for ending racial preferences in graduate education altogether and replacing undergraduate preferences with a guarantee of admission to a state university for the top 20 percent of Florida high school graduates. Critics and…

The purpose of this report is to assemble in a single volume the latest available data on current trends and projections of births and enrollments made by various agencies such as the National Center for Education Statistics, the National Center for Health Statistics, the U.S. Bureau of the Census, and others to assist school management in…

Each fall, Illinois community colleges report their preliminary fall enrollment figures to the Illinois Community College Board. Data from the 49 community colleges for fall 1995 indicate that the number of students enrolled in credit courses as of the end of registration for the term was 336,690, a decrease of 10,289 students (-3.0%) from fall…

Membership projections, which are calculated using average daily membership in conjunction with cohort survival procedure, are produced annually in South Carolina to give insight into trends within the state and individual school districts. By the 1998-99 school year, average daily membership for kindergarten through grade 12 in South Carolina…

In this news release, United States Secretary of Education Richard W. Riley states that a record 51.7 million students will enter the nation's classrooms in the Fall of 1996. Enrollment is expected to reach 54.6 million students in public and private elementary schools in the year 2006. The Secretary noted that nationwide about 190,000 additional…

As part of a continuing review of Department of Defense Dependents Schools (DODDS), the United States General Accounting Office (GAO) was asked to provide information on educating Department of Defense dependents overseas. The study: (1) reviewed legislation that establishes eligibility and authorizes funding for students to enroll in DODDS as…

This report examined enrollment projections for higher education institutions in California in relation to earlier projections conducted in the mid-1990s that forecasted steep declines in enrollment. It notes that California's remarkable economic recovery over the last several years has allowed it to fund higher education enrollment growth at a…

Enrollments in the Los Angeles Community College District (LACCD) have been affected by the area's slow local economy, shrinking aerospace and defense industries, the recent major earthquake, and the threat of more proposed fee increases. Since 1981-82, full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollments in the district have fluctuated. In 1993-94, both fall…

Eight tables present projections of public and non-public school enrollment and graduation rates for New York State largely from 1991-92 to 2000-01. The tables are: (1) trends and projections of public and non-public school enrollment in kindergarten through grade 12 for 1960-61 to 2000-01; (2) projections of public and non-public school…