Discusses a study which projects the future output of science doctoral degrees. The figures project the following decreases in Ph.D. productions: physical sciences, minus 51 percent; engineering, minus 32 percent; and mathematics, minus 50 percent; and the following increases during the same period: social sciences, 41 percent; and life sciences,…

Citing historical examples as contrast, the author examines the strains facing higher education today (declining enrollments, accountability, governmental expectations, public opinion) and offers some suggestions for universities to counteract these strains. (PG)

Enrollment management deals with the quantity of students an institution enrolls; student body composition; and the quality of students, services, and programs. The enrollment growth in American higher education institutions has ceased and a decline is expected due to: (1) lack of financial aid; (2) a prosperous economy; (3) a less promising job…

The schooling of children, thought to be an important factor in explaining changes in fertility over time, is examined. Theory predicts that it exerts a negative effect on parental fertility. The mechanisms by which this relationship occurs at the micro-level are elaborated by Becker in this quantity-quality trade-off model, and by Cadwell in his…

Prepared to assist in decision making regarding the programs, courses, and services offered by Saddleback College, California, this report presents current and projected population data for Orange County and the Saddleback Community College District (SCCD); present and projected college enrollment and weekly student contact hours (WSCH); and…

The Center for Education Statistics (CES) projects that this fall (1988), nearly 100,000 more students will enroll in public elementary and secondary schools than last year. Public school enrollment in grades K-8 is expected to increase 1.6 percent from 28.0 million in 1987 to 28.4 million in 1988. In contrast, public school enrollment in grades…

A proposal to move the Contra Costa Center of California State University, Hayward, from its present leased quarters in Pleasant Hill to a permanent facility in Concord is presented. The historical background on the proposal for the center is discussed. The proposal is also reviewed in light of the state's "Guidelines and Procedures for the…

This digest focuses upon what is known about current and impending needs for teachers, data on which this knowledge is based, and what needs to be done to create a solid foundation for projections on future needs. It is pointed out that the data needed to describe the market for teachers vary according to how and by whom the information is used. A…

This report provides a 5-year projection regarding finances and influencing conditions for the Metropolitan Community College District. The first section details revenue assumptions, focusing on historical and projected enrollments, district tax revenues, state aid, student fees, federal and vocational revenue, investments,…

This article is concerned with the effects of population growth on the expansion of educational systems and with the influence of education on population trends and on solving the difficulties they are raising. (Author)

Discusses the effects of shrinking enrollments in higher education: teacher surpluses, rising costs, grade inflation, certification and dropping standards. (PG)

Focuses on future trends in postsecondary education and their implications for institutional planners and researchers. The four projections are: increased enrollment of the nontraditional student, rise of alternative educational institutions, decreased undergraduate vocational preparation, and diminution of compulsory education. (Editor/PG)

The period of stress which colleges and universities currently face is analyzed in terms of environmental and organizational factors. (Editor)

U.S. demographic data from 1963 to 1974 and school enrollment summary (1961-1973) and projection (1974-1985) for grades 1-6, 7-8, and 9-12 are presented with brief discussion of implications and of trends if births become stabilized. (JT)

Describes and evaluates a circuitless flow model for forecasting future student attributes and enrollment projections, compared with a simple Markov chain model. Data from a study of secondary students are used to illustrate the analytical methodologies and to contrast results of the Markov chain and circuitless flow models. (JG)