A national study of enrollment growth rates in community colleges, conducted by the Arkansas State Department of Higher Education, found it most commonly exceeded expectations, especially in urban areas. (NF)

Presents a need for and expected changes in post-secondary education. Expected characteristics of future educational systems include: (1) occupational training open to all, (2) individualized instruction, (3) cooperative education, (4) junior high school occupational education, (5) curriculum of instructional packages, and (6) around-the-clock…

School planners in Phoenix (Arizona) have coped with unexpected student population shifts by interspersing permanent schools with modular ones. Desert Winds Elementary School, in a Phoenix suburb, was constructed entirely of relocatable modular units. (Author/MLF)

Offers a formula to refine enrollment projections at the school district level. The formula builds on the traditional cohort survival technique and is based on the assumption that what has happened in the past will continue to happen in the future. Instructions and sample projections are provided. (Author/WD)

Depicts enrollment in grades K-12 from 1950-2000 and projected population changes into the 1990s, and discusses the methodology for projecting changes. (SK)

Discusses the problem of forecasting engineering enrollments and methods of dealing with enrollments that are too high for the job market to absorb. (MLH)

Reviews three special-purpose forecasting methods (population-ratio techniques, Bell Telephone method, method of analogy, and multiple-factor method) and three methods of universal applicability (the cohort-survival, percentage- survival, and law-of-growth methods) to help administrators grasp enrollment forecasting technicalities. A comparison…

Sought to determine if the size of an entering freshman class at a 4-year university could be accurately predicted using linear regression, a standard statistical procedure. Analyzed certain independent variables believed to be related to the number of actual enrolled freshmen. Found that a reasonably good forecast for the fall could be obtained…

To analyze data and predict trends among physical education doctorates, researchers obtained 1983-89 data from the National Research Council which releases annual reports of earned doctorates granted by U.S. institutions. The article examines institutions, graduation rate, employment, postdoctoral degrees, race/ethnicity, and age, marital, and…

A master plan for school facilities should be brought up to date at least every five years. Outlines sections of a master plan and describes ways to project future enrollment figures. (MLF)

The intrinsic value of a college education is increasing as America's political and economic position in the world marketplace becomes more threatened. We will all lose if the participation of African-American students in higher education is not increased. Institutional executive and faculty leadership dedicated to providing an environment where…

Instead of using sophisticated statistical techniques, principals can combine information about community birth records and past enrollments to forecast enrollments accurately. Principals should watch maternity wards; chart cohort groups; and avoid statistical traps (using bad math, using straight-line projections, accepting statistical…

Describes a mathematical programming model for determining the admissions policies necessary to produce optimal enrollment levels, given certain constraints on enrollment capacity and minimum and maximum admissions levels. The model is then used to analyze the possible consequences of the introduction of a summer term in Yale College. (Author)

Reports a solution to the problem of providing annual grade enrollment projections by use of an exponential smoothing model. (Author)