The proceedings of the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) conference on the declining applicant pool and implications for the selection of medical students is presented in six parts. Part 1, The Down Side of the Slope, includes four papers: "The Declining Applicant Pool: An Overview" (R. Petersdorf); "Applications: Disease or…

Approaches to studying enrollment decline are compared and limitations and advantages associated with each method in predicting response to decline are assessed. The literature is reviewed to identify research perspectives on decline. Variables consistent with each perspective are identified and measured on a sample of 56 small- to medium-sized…

In 1981, a study was conducted to predict the possible effects of increased tuition and enrollment limitations in Washington on the community college enrollment of persons eligible for Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA) programs. Within four sample geographic areas, historical and projected data were collected from all CETA prime…

School districts faced with declining enrollments can utilize several strategies for dealing with reductions in force while saving money, minimizing terminations, and creating new opportunities. Schools should be staffed on the basis of midyear projections to avoid too great a degree of overstaffing by year's end. An early retirement plan should…

A review is provided of the flow of students to and from colleges in the Los Angeles Community College District (LACCD). First, background is provided on the agreements between the LACCD and coterminus districts regarding interdistrict enrollments in effect prior to or during 1983-84; the effect of the initiation of free-flow policies in 1983-84;…

Confronted with declining enrollment and budget reductions, schools of education have increasingly considered institutional merger as a possible approach to survival. This solution is currently being worked out in large education systems in Maine and Indiana. During the decade since the merger of two large institutions in Indiana, both problems…

With the decline of enrollment at a number of community colleges there is a demand for accurate enrollment projections, yet enrollment is increasingly difficult to forecast. Student body composition has changed markedly from the traditional 18 year old group as the percentage of women and part-time students and students' ages have increased. Also,…

The three planning papers presented herein were previously given to separate audiences, but have the common denominator of promoting an understanding of the dimensions of changes and of the preparation for that change. They are: management of academic institutions in a period of change; state level policy issues and planning problems resulting…

This paper analyzes Boston's decline in white enrollment, the effect school desegregation had on this decline and on racial balance, and whether school desegregation has led to resegregation in the school system. The data indicate that white public school enrollment began declining long before school desegregation. Boston's experience with school…

Unless educators engage in thorough planning, in making the most efficient use of economic resources, and in interpreting to the public why education deserves high priority, public education is in for a long period of gradual decline. The central thrust of the current administrative era is the management of decline, or decremental planning. The…

Because of the increasing underutilization of school facilities in Arlington (Virginia), a case study of the management of these facilities was undertaken. The purposes of the study were to discover the political interactions leading to policy decisions on the management of underutilized facilities, to determine the actual policies that resulted…

Tenured faculty can be dismissed for reasons of financial exigency. If the employment contract provides a specific definition of fiscal exigency and the processes to be used in effecting retrenchment, then those terms govern in lieu of constitutional due process. In the absence of such guidance, courts are willing to allow dismissal for reasons of…

Several of the major difficulties that faced urban school systems during the decade from 1965 to 1975 are considered briefly in this short document. One of these problems is the changing nature of the urban population and the resultant stresses on urban districts. Other issues include declining enrollment; insufficient financial support at local,…

Declining enrollments in college-level geography courses have caused educators to assess current curriculum and research emphases within geography departments and to appraise those courses of action they might take to enhance geography's attractiveness to students. Current problems affecting geography can be placed in two categories--(1) general…

The history of a higher education demand assessment program in Manitoba is outlined, beginning with a sharp dip in enrollment in 1970. A three-year project was begun with three snapshot surveys of grade 12 decision-making in February, May, and June. The second year involved two snapshots, and the third used only one. During this time, attitudes…