AN ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY OF 20 ITEMS AND A DISCUSSION OF ITS SIGNIFICANCE WAS PRESENTED TO DESCRIBE CURRENT UTILIZATION OF SUBJECT THEORIES IN THE CONSTRUCTION OF AN EDUCATIONAL THEORY. ALSO, A THEORY MODEL WAS USED TO DEMONSTRATE CONSTRUCTION OF A SCIENTIFIC EDUCATIONAL THEORY. THE THEORY MODEL INCORPORATED SET THEORY (S), INFORMATION THEORY…

The methods, procedures, and results of a sensitivity test on NETMAN, a stochastic digital computer model designed to simulate the information collection and scoring control systems used in tactical warfare training exercises, are described. NETMAN enables its users to obtain information such as personnel requirements, training requirements, and…

This paper discusses the Financial Analysis System (FAS), a software system for financial analysis, display, and modeling of the data found in the COMPUSTAT Annual Industrial, Over-the-Counter and Canadian Company files. The educational utility of FAS is also discussed briefly. (Author)

The general solution to the problem of calculating school enrollments at time (t-1) necessary to meet predetermined graduation or manpower targets at time (t) is derived and examined. The solution, which is obtained by minimizing the squared discrepancy between the given graduations and those predicted by the enrollments, requires the unique…

Competitive bidding has recently received considerable attention in the literature of economics and operations research. Unfortunately, the classic formulation of the problem developed by Friedman and still expounded (Stark and Mayer) can lead to an incorrect estimate of the expected profit for a bidder when uncertainty about the cost of…

Estimating the probability that a proposed bid will win is obviously a central problem in competitive bidding theory. Unfortunately, a method for doing this, which originated with Friedman and which continues to be expounded in the literature, is logically incorrect. This paper points out the deficiency in that formulation. (Author/MLF)

In an attempt to bridge the gap between academic understanding and practical business use, the Box-Jenkins technique of time series analysis for forecasting future events is presented with a minimum of mathematical notation. The method is presented in three stages: a discussion of traditional forecasting techniques, focusing on traditional…

This mathematical model of the educational system calculates information on population groups by sex, race, age, and educational level. The model can be used to answer questions about what would happen to the flows of students and teachers through the formal educational system if these flows are changed at various stages. The report discusses the…

The study is concerned with the problem of determining stimulus discrimination thresholds in non-human vertebrates. In constrast to conventional methods of teaching differentiation of various stimuli by fixed reinforcement schedules, stimulus discrimination threshold determination is related to a teaching system that adjusts to continuously…

A production system simulator has been developed which is capable of simulating a wide variety of realistic manufacturing environments. The simulator is used as an aid in teaching the concepts of designing production control systems and as a research vehicle for investigating various aspects of control theory for production systems. The report…

Operations research methods, such as system modeling, computer simulation, mathematical programing, and the application of the theory of stochastic processes, could have validity in the field of planning in the public sector. In this volume the use of these methods in the areas of local government, urban planning, traffic control, transportation…

A basic description of the Rasch model and a brief review of the work previously done on the model is related. Simulated data was used to test goodness of fit to the Rasch model. It was found that data with near perfect fit to the Guttman model provides perfect fit to the Rasch model, though a perfect Guttman scale collapses. Random data also…

To measure industrial development in Taiwan, four variables were used: the index of industrial production, electricity consumed in kilowatt hours per capita, Gross National Product per capita, and the percentage of the active working force engaged in non-agricultural occupations. The primary objective of the study was to design a predicting model…

If information science is to be considered a "science" in the true sense of the word, a set of general concepts and analytical expressions must be developed. Fundamental to this development is a rigorous and quantifiable measure of information. In previous papers a general framework, called a generalized information system, is suggested…

A research project developed a computer program for analyzing time series quasi-experimental data. The program generates a nonstationary, integrated moving average time series model; it is used to estimate a parameter which indexes the instantaneous change in level of the time series due to a predesignated treatment. The entire method is based on…