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Luca Moretti; Iring Koch; Marco Steinhauser; Stefanie Schuch – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2024
In the present study, we used a modeling approach for measuring task conflict in task switching, assessing the probability of selecting the correct task via multinomial processing tree (MPT) modeling. With this method, task conflict and response conflict can be independently assessed as the probability of selecting the correct task and the…
Descriptors: Conflict, Persistence, Performance, Probability
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Gulin Yazici-Celebi; Muge Yilmaz; Muhammed Enes Karacoskun; Aybuke Irem Sahin – Journal of Education in Science, Environment and Health, 2024
Suicide, which is defined as an individual's intentionally attempting to end his or her life, is considered an important public health problem. In this study, it was aimed to examine the relationship between cognitive distortions and suicide probability in university students who are in age groups at risk for suicide, and to examine the mediating…
Descriptors: Suicide, Probability, Cognitive Processes, College Students
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Jenni Ingram – Mathematical Thinking and Learning: An International Journal, 2024
Understanding randomness is essential for modern life, as it underpins decisions under uncertainty. It is also an essential part of both the mathematics and science curricula in schools. Yet, research has shown that many people consider randomness difficult to perceive and argue about, with a number of different and contradictory views on the…
Descriptors: Student Teachers, Mathematics Curriculum, Science Curriculum, Teacher Education
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Xinxin Sun; Yongyun Shin; Jennifer Elston Lafata; Stephen W. Raudenbush – Grantee Submission, 2024
Within each of 170 physicians, patients were randomized to access e-assist, an online program that aimed to increase colorectal cancer screening (CRCS), or control. Compliance was partial: 78.34% of the experimental patients accessed e-assist while no controls were provided the access. Of interest are the average causal effect of assignment to…
Descriptors: Screening Tests, Cancer, Patients, Compliance (Psychology)
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František Bartoš; Maximilian Maier; Eric-Jan Wagenmakers; Franziska Nippold; Hristos Doucouliagos; John P. A. Ioannidis; Willem M. Otte; Martina Sladekova; Teshome K. Deresssa; Stephan B. Bruns; Daniele Fanelli; T. D. Stanley – Research Synthesis Methods, 2024
Publication selection bias undermines the systematic accumulation of evidence. To assess the extent of this problem, we survey over 68,000 meta-analyses containing over 700,000 effect size estimates from medicine (67,386/597,699), environmental sciences (199/12,707), psychology (605/23,563), and economics (327/91,421). Our results indicate that…
Descriptors: Publications, Selection, Bias, Meta Analysis
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Jose M. Pavía; Rafael Romero – Sociological Methods & Research, 2024
The estimation of RxC ecological inference contingency tables from aggregate data is one of the most salient and challenging problems in the field of quantitative social sciences, with major solutions proposed from both the ecological regression and the mathematical programming frameworks. In recent decades, there has been a drive to find…
Descriptors: Elections, Voting, Social Science Research, Programming
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Wendy Chan – Asia Pacific Education Review, 2024
As evidence from evaluation and experimental studies continue to influence decision and policymaking, applied researchers and practitioners require tools to derive valid and credible inferences. Over the past several decades, research in causal inference has progressed with the development and application of propensity scores. Since their…
Descriptors: Probability, Scores, Causal Models, Statistical Inference
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Gonzalez, Oscar – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
When scores are used to make decisions about respondents, it is of interest to estimate classification accuracy (CA), the probability of making a correct decision, and classification consistency (CC), the probability of making the same decision across two parallel administrations of the measure. Model-based estimates of CA and CC computed from the…
Descriptors: Classification, Accuracy, Intervals, Probability
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Nobuyuki Hanaki; Jan R. Magnus; Donghoon Yoo – Journal of Statistics and Data Science Education, 2023
Common sense is a dynamic concept and it is natural that our (statistical) common sense lags behind the development of statistical science. What is not so easy to understand is why common sense lags behind as much as it does. We conduct a survey among Japanese students and provide examples and tentative explanations of a number of statistical…
Descriptors: Statistics, Statistics Education, Epistemology, Statistical Analysis
David Menendez; Olympia N. Mathiaparanam; Vienne Seitz; David Liu; Andrea Marquardt Donovan; Charles W. Kalish; Martha W. Alibali; Karl S. Rosengren – Grantee Submission, 2023
Do people think about genetic inheritance as a deterministic or probabilistic process? Do adults display systematic biases when reasoning about genetic inheritance? Knowing how adults think about genetic inheritance is valuable, both for understanding the developmental endpoint of these concepts and for identifying biases that persist even after…
Descriptors: Heredity, Genetics, Adults, Probability
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Anupam Sharma; Ankita Shah – Discover Education, 2025
Higher education among youth is crucial for India's socio-economic development. Despite policy efforts, challenges persist in retaining students beyond elementary school and improving inclusivity and education quality. Using the UDAYA dataset from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, we examined how unpaid domestic work affects educational outcomes. Findings…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Adolescents, Young Adults, Housework
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Robert Santiago; Otis Williams; Jorge Zaragoza; Haiwen Chu; Monique Evans – Mathematics Teacher: Learning and Teaching PK-12, 2025
All students want to talk about ideas that interest them, but often, multilingual learners are not offered high-challenge, high-support opportunities to connect everyday experiences to mathematical ideas. We describe a single class period that connects students' everyday opinions with two-way tables and notions of independence.
Descriptors: Multilingualism, Mathematics Instruction, Student Attitudes, Probability
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Raykov, Tenko; Huber, Chuck; Marcoulides, George A.; Pusic, Martin; Menold, Natalja – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2021
A readily and widely applicable procedure is discussed that can be used to point and interval estimate the probabilities of particular responses on polytomous items at pre-specified points along underlying latent continua. The items are assumed thereby to be part of unidimensional multi-component measuring instruments that may contain also binary…
Descriptors: Probability, Computation, Test Items, Responses
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Susiswo; Puguh Darmawan; Wasilatul Murtafiah; Sharifah Osman – Journal on Mathematics Education, 2024
This research aims to determine the thinking activity types dominated by a mental process in producing answers characterized by automatic, unconscious, and subjective-empirical processes (system 1) in solving problems so that the default-interventionist interaction occurs. This research novelty is the formulation of the contents and thinking…
Descriptors: Problem Solving, Cognitive Processes, Mathematics Education, Probability
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Rajeeb Das; Erika Schmitt; Michael T. Stephenson – Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 2024
First-year seminars (FYS) comprise one of 11 researched interventions in postsecondary education known as High-Impact Practices, but few rigorous studies report significantly high impacts. This study examined a FYS employing propensity score matching to link cases and controls in a quasi-experimental design. One semester later cumulative grade…
Descriptors: College Freshmen, First Year Seminars, Scores, Probability
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