ERIC Number: ED676586
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2025-May
Pages: N/A
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: 0000-00-00
What Works for the Unemployed? Evidence from Quasi-Random Caseworker Assignments. Working Paper 33807
Anders Humlum; Jakob Munch; Mette Rasmussen
National Bureau of Economic Research
This paper examines if active labor market programs help unemployed job seekers find jobs using a novel random caseworker instrumental variable (IV) design. Leveraging administrative data from Denmark, our identification strategy exploits that (i) job seekers are quasi-randomly assigned to caseworkers, and (ii) caseworkers differ in their tendencies to assign similar job seekers to different programs. Using our IV strategy, we find assignment to classroom training increases employment by 29% two years after initial job loss of compliers. This finding contrasts with the conclusion reached by ordinary least squares (OLS), which suffers from a negative bias due to selection on unobservables. The employment effects are driven by job seekers who complete the programs (post-program effects) rather than job seekers who exit unemployment upon assignment (threat effects), and the programs help job seekers change occupations. We show that job seekers exposed to offshoring -- who tend to experience larger and more persistent employment losses -- also have higher employment gains from classroom training. By estimating marginal treatment effects, we conclude that total employment may be increased by targeting training toward job seekers exposed to offshoring. [Financial support for this report was received from the Economic Policy Research Network (EPRN), the Rockwool Foundation, and the Independent Research Fund Denmark.]
Descriptors: Unemployment, Caseworker Approach, Employment Level, Program Effectiveness, Intervention, Job Applicants, Foreign Countries, Job Training
National Bureau of Economic Research. 1050 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02138-5398. Tel: 617-588-0343; Web site: http://www.nber.org
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Identifiers - Location: Denmark
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A

Direct link
