Trends and projections for postsecondary enrollments in the United States are summarized. Between 1955 and 1970, degree credit enrollment more than tripled due to both a rapid rise in the population of college-age youth and an increase in the college participation rate. College attendance doubled between 1955 and 1965, and participation rates for…

This paper describes an enrollment forecasting model that was developed in 1988 by the Office of Institutional Research for a small, private, liberal arts college (Wesley College, Delaware). The college, shifting in demographics from its historical junior college mission to that of a comprehensive baccalaureate institution, required a forecasting…

National and regional student population projections and factors related to enrollment trends are provided in this report. Demographic data are presented on national and regional enrollment trends and projections, the national and regional school-age population, regional and state growth patterns, minority populations and immigration patterns, and…

Achieving enrollment goals continues to be a major administrative concern in higher education. Enrollment management can be assisted through the use of computerized planning and forecast models. Although commercially available Markov transition type curve fitting models have been developed and used, a microcomputer-based decision planning model…

Enrollment projections for Queensborough Community College (QCC) were developed using the cohort survival method to assist the college in more effectively planning for future academic and budgetary needs. In the face of a falling national population of young people in the 16 to 25 age bracket, demographic factors at work in Queens are expected to…

This planning report provides information about the types and magnitude of educational services to be provided by Washington State's community colleges from 1985 to 1900. The purpose of the plan, the planning process, and the report's format are presented and the mission of the community colleges in providing transfer/vocational education, basic…

Using 1985 school enrollment data for persons 3 to 34 years old, this report discusses increases and decreases in overall enrollments by race and ethnicity. Data on school completion rates are also presented. They reveal that the Hispanic population of 3- to 24-year-olds is growing at a faster rate than either Blacks or Whites, and thus becoming a…

This first in a series of bulletins on trends and projections presents past and projected enrollment trends in public elementary and secondary schools from 1965 to 2000. Enrollments in regular elementary and secondary schools from the Center for Education Statistics' Common Core of Data Survey were used to develop the projections. For the…

With the increasing number of part-time and adult students entering universities over the past several years, students who tend not to follow the traditional pattern of study, the task of accurate enrollment predictions has become increasingly difficult. The use of the Statistical Analysis System (SAS) software package to effectively track both…

Prepared as part of the College of the Mainland's (COM's) accreditation reaffirmation, this six-part report reviews the societal and technological environment of the college; offers forecasts for the college district, enrollments, and budget; evaluates COM's self-study reports; and recommends a long-range planning system. After reviewing COM's…

One of 10 publications from a long-range vocational education planning project, this report presents a simplified eight-step method for long-range planning in vocational education. The planning model is presented in two major components: A procedures summary containing the eight steps used in the program planning process, and one or more…

As part of an effort to reassess its enrollment forecasting methodology and techniques, the Florida Division of Community Colleges conducted a national survey of state directors of community/junior colleges to identify successful forecasting practices. A conceptual framework for analyzing responses was developed from a review of the literature on…

The historical enrollment data for spring 1973 to spring 1976 at Macomb County Community College were used to project enrollment for summer 1976 to spring 1979. The most consistent enrollment projections were obtained using the following ratios: (1) spring ratios--spring values against preceding fall values; (2) fall ratios--fall values against…

In this report, revisions made by the New Jersey State Board of Education to its administrative code in order to implement provisions of the law providing an additional cost factor for the state compensatory education fund are described. Methods utilized by Federal and State governments for targeting resources are discussed. including…

Important because of implications for program planning, student costs, and state aid payments, this study projects New York State's public and private student enrollment from 1976 to 1990. The study reviews research procedures, statistical methods, and sources of essential information for predicting enrollment. Literature concerning enrollment…