A computerized geographic information system makes it easier for a Kansas suburban school district to analyze the effects of proposed school sitings and boundary changes. Johnson County provides the district with digital information on all taxable property in the district, including ownership, values, land use, addresses, subdivision boundaries,…

Large numbers of rural districts have experienced sharp declines in enrollment, unlike their suburban counterparts. Accurate enrollment projections are required, whether a district needs to build new schools or consolidate existing ones. For school districts having more than 600 students, a quantitative method such as the Cohort-Survival Ratio…

This report, the 35th in a series begun in 1964, provides revisions of projections shown in "Projections of Education Statistics to 2015." It includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and degree-granting institutions. Included are projections of enrollment, graduates, teachers, and expenditures to the year 2016. In addition…

This document presents the five-year (1998-2003) plan for the University of North Carolina that was approved by the institution's Board of Governors. Following a letter of transmittal to the state's executive and legislative leaders, Part 1, an introduction, explains the plan's development and lists and locates the state's 74 public and 45 private…

Part of an effort to evaluate the 1978 Missouri State Master Plan for Higher Education, this report reexamines the enrollment projections contained in the plan to determine whether those projections are adequate to serve as a basis for statewide higher education planning efforts for the remainder of the 1980s and the early 1990s. The first section…

Describes New York State enrollment trends and prospects (1960-1990) noting implications for institutions and for public policy. (JT)

A model and implementation process is presented for projecting student headcount and credit hour and contact hour enrollment for each academic area and all areas aggregated by semester and fiscal year for each campus of Montgomery College, Maryland. The projection model is suggested as a managerial tool to assist the college's management to…

To establish a procedure for use in examining characteristics of future participants in adult education, a study focused on one characteristic--the highest level of education completed among participants in adult education activities. The process followed was to obtain reports from the National Center for Education Statitstics (NCES) (an official…

As enrollments continue to decline, principals face new staffing problems, especially problems connected with reduction in force. One forecasting method useful for determining if enrollment will decline is the Keough Indicator Survey Scale, which contains questions about key community characterisitics. Administrators experiencing declining…

Designed for educational planners and decision makers, this report describes the application of mathematical procedures to depict the relationship of elements within models which represent the flow of students through an educational system. The introductory section includes a discussion of the history of the use of planning models in education and…

This computer-based system of enrollment projection predicts up to seven years ahead the number of school children of each age and sex who will be in school. The main distinguishing feature of the system is the ability to detect well in advance small changes in the geographical distribution of children. Forecasts are made for zones that will yield…

This booklet provides enrollment and transportation guides for those planning a new Lutheran high school. Suggestions are made for ways of projecting enrollment prior to the initial opening of school and an enrollment projection method is outlined that can be used in ensuing years. Recruiting strategies are listed and samples provided of a letter…

The use of subjective probability as a theoretical model for enrollment forecasting is proposed, and the results of an application of subjective probability to enrollment forecasting at the University of Toledo are reported. Subjective probability can be used as an enrollment forecasting technique for both headcount and full-time equivalent using…

Professors of rhetoric are viewing with concern the prospect of 15 years of declining enrollment in higher education. It has been speculated that the decline in enrollment will be less severe in large, well-established, urban institutions with low tuition, a clear mission or well-defined public image, well-planned modest growth, established…