Today's enrollment situation is uncertain, especially in comparison with recent past. Some institutions experience growth in student numbers, while in others enrollments plateau or decline. Nontraditional students challenge a variety of institutional arrangements. Many past assumptions for predicting enrollments are inadequate. Projection studies…

This report describes a higher education enrollment projection model developed for the state of Washington. The model operates on a student flow concept quantifying students through the flows of entrances, retention, transfers, and exits. The model is based on the assumption that the manner in which students now move through the State's higher…

This paper discusses enrollment projections and trends in public and private colleges and universities. (1) Total enrollment in higher education may reach 14 million by 1982 and 12 million of these will be in public institutions, almost a 100 percent increase since 1970. Enrollments in private institutions will probably increase by only 5 percent.…

This study reexamines admissions policies and procedures at the University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point and determines how to more accurately forecast how many applicants will matriculate. A questionnaire similar to one used in the 1968 study was sent to 1,255 new freshmen for the fall of 1972 who did not appear. From this number, 764 responses were…

This paper is a statistical study of the growth of higher education in the United States with emphasis upon trends in student enrollment patterns at all levels. The flow of students from high school graduation through the graduate schooos is described through an examination of graduation rates, entrance and attrition rates at each level, and the…

This brief contains a refinement and amplification of preliminary estimates of operating fund requirements of the provincially assisted universities of Ontario for 1970-71. Part B of the report contains quantitative descriptors of university operations including budgeted operating expenditures for 1969-70, faculty income unit ratios in 1969-70,…

This report examines existing mathematical methods that have been utilized to develop educational enrollment estimates and analyzes the applicability of these methods in the community college setting. Models surveyed are based on (1) extrapolation--by either survival cohort or cohort-regression, (2) structural flow, and (3) Markov-type procedures.…

AS ENVISIONED, THE REGIONAL COLLEGE IS JUSTIFIED BY THE MANY KINDS OF STUDENTS IT CAN SERVE AND THE VARIETY AND APPROPRIATENESS OF THE EDUCATIONAL SERVICES IT CAN OFFER. VANCOUVER ISLAND HAS TRANSPORTATION DIFFICULTIES, A MARKEDLY UNEVEN POPULATION, AND SPECIAL PROBLEMS IN FORESTRY EXPLOITATION. POPULATION GROWTH ON THE ISLAND HAS BEEN GREAT AND…

Attempts to predict the number of British students likely to seek places in higher education in the future are briefly described and their methods of prediction analyzed. It is argued that future numbers cannot be predicted reliably since there has been no identifiable regular pattern from which to make a prediction. (Author/LBH)

A selected and annotated bibliography of ERIC documents describing community college enrollment projection methods, including a demographic planning model, a modified Delphi technique, a cohort survival model, the age participation technique, and the bond program projection technique. (Author/AC)

Describes a program for enrollment projections in sufficient detail to communicate the output generated and techniques utilized. Interspersed with the text are 14 tables. (MLF)

An analysis of whether U.S. educational institutions should change policies concerning the increasing number of foreign students is presented. Statistical analyses are used to project enrollment into the 1980s and factors leading to the rapid influx and likelihood of continuance are reviewed. It is concluded that there is little reason for…

The expected rise in enrollment may be just a 10-year window of growth, followed by another period of decline. Changes will occur in the manner that technical and vocational courses are taught. The emphasis on light industry and electronics will require new instructional areas including "clean rooms." (MLF)

This paper examines enrollment figures for blacks in colleges during the period 1940 to 1972 and develops a statistic that is more significant than either enrollment figures or percentages in order to determine the progress made by these students. (Author/AM)

Four factors that affect student enrollment in postsecondary education are analyzed: (1) the relationship of college to the labor market, (2) demographic changes, (3) changes currently underway in postsecondary education itself, and (4) changes in society at large. (Author/MLF)