Kentucky is one of the many states in which enrollment has declined since 1971. This study gathered data on the previous decline and then projected state enrollment up to 1981-82. The cohort-survival technique was used in projections. Numbers of live births and survival ratios were supplied by the Bureau of Vital Statistics. Survival ratios…

This system for predicting enrollment in the London Borough of Bromley was first developed for the Hertfordshire County Council and was modified to fit the unique situation in Bromley, including high mobility of the population and high proportion of children in private schools. The system divides the borough into 207 zones and produces forecasts…

The merits of double exponential smoothing are discussed relative to other types of pattern-based enrollment forecasting methods. The difficulties associated with selecting an appropriate weight factor are discussed, and their potential effects on prediction results are illustrated. Two methods for objectively selecting the "best" weight…

IN A STUDY AT THE UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO, CANADA, A SIMULATION MODEL WAS DEVELOPED TO AID INSTITUTIONAL PLANNING FOR THE UNDERGRADUATE LEVEL OF HIGHER EDUCATION. BY DEVELOPING A CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK FOR THE QUANTIFICATION OF RESOURCE MANAGEMENT, THE AUTHORS EXPLORE THE EDUCATION FUNCTION IN TERMS OF THE FACTORS OF CONTROL AFFECTING DECISION MAKING…

Intending to provide school administrators with technical information to assist in preparing student enrollment projections and techniques in analyzing projections, this paper explores the state of the art, major factors affecting school populations, and the Cohort Survival Ratio Method. The authors caution that there are no absolutely reliable…

This volume contains papers, presented at a 1966 OECD meeting, on the possibilities of applying a number of related techniques such as mathematical model building, simulation, and systematic control theory to the problems of educational planning. The authors and their papers are (1) Richard Stone, "A View of the Conference," (2) Hector…

This performance audit was conducted by the Legislative Budget Committee for the purpose of providing the Washington State Legislature with an evaluation of the enrollment projection methods utilized in the development of the Washington State Community College system operating budget request to the Legislature. The Committee studied the planning,…

This survey of the Higher Education Panel (HEP) of the American Council on Education, conducted in July 1971, concerned first-year graduate enrollment and postdoctoral enrollment in science and engineering for the academic year 1970-71 and expected enrollments for 1971-72. Each institution was asked, first, to indicate new applications received…

This study on the need for and location of new higher education facilities in California is the second in a series of statewide studies spanning two decades. The study assumes that current policies concerning student admissions, distribution of enrollments, and the form and structure of higher education will not change drastically in the near…

Three mathematical models and their enrollment projections for higher education in Georgia are presented. The first model is an extrapolation of current trends. The second model is a simple linear regression model based on steady growth. The third is a multiple regression model attempting to account for the influences of several variables…

Because of increased competition for funds, educational leaders are now recommending use of systematic planning techniques such as Planning-Programming-Budgeting (PPB). Effective implementation of such a procedure calls for a data base of enrollment of students in a program, retention rates, and costs per instructional hour. The intent of this…

Foreseeing problems with existing patterns of financing higher education and of college attendance, the College Scholarship Service held a colloquium in 1966 to deal broadly with the most effective methods of supporting higher education and with the role and problems of the educational consumer. An important trend--the marked and seemingly…

The first part of this study gives actual and projected assessed valuations, local tax rates, and school budget allocations; the second part includes data for adjoining districts. A statement of the purposes of the junior college prefaces the study. (FPO)

During the month of February 1970, the Louisiana Coordinating Council for Higher Education, with the complete cooperation of colleges and universities of the state and other agencies and persons, initiated an enrollment projection or estimation study of Louisiana colleges and universities. The study represents an attempt to standardize enrollment…