The procedure was to isolate the component variables and then to formulate the logical and mathematical rules governing their interaction. Students were classified by age, grade, and sex; also, their entry to, movement through, and graduation from the system were examined. (Author)

Data bases employed in projecting public school enrollment are examined and elements of the computer programs used to automate the projection technique are provided. Degree of accuracy found in the techniques described are indicated. These techniques can be used in a setting in which resources are limited to a staff of one. Address: DUALabs, 1601…

Surveys current methodologies and problems in enrollment forecasting at the State and institutional level. (Author/MLF)

An analysis of population and public school enrollment trends in Colorado counties from 1960 to 1979 is described in this report, and simplified methods for projecting future enrollments on the basis of the historical data are provided. Population and enrollment trend data for Adams County are included in the document as examples of the data…

Presents an overview of developments in U.S. higher education, including the uncertainty about student demand, the nature and extent of Federal support for higher education, and the "steady state." (Editor/PG)

Describes ways to predict and plan for enrollment decline. (JF)

Examines the inaccuracies of national enrollment projections, some of the causes of the limited success, and makes suggestions for improvement. Approaches the problem of making better projections for individual colleges and universities. (Author/PG)

THREE MAJOR TRENDS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT ELEMENTARY, SECONDARY, AND HIGHER EDUCATION ENROLLMENTS THROUGHOUT THE STATE--THE INCREASING TOTAL POPULATION, THE POPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY AGE, AND THE GEOGRAPHIC RELOCATION OF THE POPULATION. THE STATE'S POPULATION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE, BUT AT A DECREASING RATIO. THE 0-19-YEAR-OLD POPULATION…

RECENT LEGISLATION IN PUERTO RICO HAS VALIDATED THE 2-YEAR REGIONAL COLLEGE CONCEPT, AND THE CHARACTER OF THE PROGRAM COMBINING LIBERAL ARTS TRANSFER CURRICULUMS AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION HAS BEEN SET. TO IMPLEMENT THE PLANNING PHASES, THIS STUDY PREDICTS STUDENT ENROLLMENT BY REGION. TWO INDEXES ARE USED TO ESTIMATE STUDENT DEMAND--COLLEGE…

The ratio technique, requiring only simple arithmetic calculations, uses historical information as a basis for projecting school enrollment. In the author's survey of state education agencies, 84 percent of the respondents indicated that they used a ratio technique. This study reviews four different approaches to use of the ratio method in…

The booklet describes a study of cost projection in funding of handicapped children in the Iowa public schools from 1975-76 through 1985-86. It is explained that estimates of likely numbers of handicapped children were drawn up, along with projections of public school enrollment and estimates of percentage of allowable growth for the 10-year…

DURING THE 20TH CENTURY, DELAWARE'S POPULATION GROWTH HAS PARALLELED THAT OF THE COUNTRY AS A WHOLE, ALTHOUGH THE GROWTH HAS NOT BEEN EVENLY DISTRIBUTED THROUGHOUT THE STATE. NEED FOR EXPANSION OF THE STATE'S HIGHER EDUCATION OPPORTUNITIES WAS INDICATED BY TWO FACTORS--(1) THE TREND IN THE BIRTH RATE, WHICH LED TO A PROJECTION OF A 1975 COLLEGE…

MINIMUM AREA SPACE REQUIREMENTS IN SQUARE FOOTAGE FOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL BUILDING FACILITIES ARE PRESENTED, INCLUDING FACILITIES FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE, GENERAL USE, AND SERVICE USE. LIBRARY, CAFETERIA, KITCHEN, STORAGE, AND MULTIPURPOSE ROOMS SHOULD BE SIZED FOR THE PROJECTED ENROLLMENT OF THE BUILDING IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE PROJECTION UNDER THE…

Projections of the size and composition of future student populations are crucial to effective planning in an institution of higher education. Using the mathematical model presented here, future enrollments and degree production can be predicted from admission, transfer, and attrition rates, as well as from administrative policies and current…

Projecting future school enrollments seems to be a relatively simple mathematical procedure using current population figures, birth rates, migration rates, and grade progression ratios. Resource allocations and education facilities planning are based on these projections. In most American cities, the political power of various interest groups…