School start regulations allocate children born immediately either side of a given date to different life paths: those slightly older starting school a full year earlier. School effectiveness literature exploits this to estimate causal effects described as 'the absolute effect of schooling' or 'the effect of an additional year's schooling', using…

We offer ways that the inspection paradox can be usefully presented, even in the most elementary statistics courses, and provide guidance about how it can be revisited subsequently in the same course and in succeeding courses. Numerous situations in which the inspection paradox might occur are mentioned, and mathematically simple demonstrations…

We consider the cascading effects of researcher decisions throughout the process of quantifying racially polarized voting (RPV). We contrast three methods of estimating precinct racial composition, Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG), fully Bayesian BISG, and Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP), and two algorithms for performing ecological…

This study aims to investigate the influence of an undergraduate course on teaching statistics and probability on the statistical knowledge of preservice mathematics teachers. Statistics Concept Inventory (SCI) was used to measure the statistical understanding of the participants. It was implemented at both the beginning and the end of the course.…

Algorithmic bias is a pressing concern in educational data mining (EDM), as it risks amplifying inequities in learning outcomes. The Area Between ROC Curves (ABROCA) metric is frequently used to measure discrepancies in model performance across demographic groups to quantify overall model fairness. However, its skewed distribution--especially when…

Visual statistical learning (visual SL) is the ability to implicitly extract statistical patterns from visual stimuli. Visual SL could be assessed using online measures, evaluating reaction times (RTs) to stimuli during task performance, and offline measures, which assess recognition of the presented patterns. We examined 96 children aged 3-9…

Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are increasingly used for causal evaluations. However, the literature contains little guidance for conducting a moderation analysis within an RDD context. The current article focuses on moderation with a single binary variable. A simulation study compares: (1) different bandwidth selectors and (2) local…

Many large-scale assessments model proficiency with a latent regression on contextual variables. Item-response data are used to estimate the parameters of the latent variable model and are used in conjunction with the contextual data to generate plausible values of individuals' proficiency attributes. These models typically incorporate numerous…

This study investigates the estimation of classification consistency and accuracy indices for composite summed and theta scores within the SS-MIRT framework, using five popular approaches, including the Lee, Rudner, Guo, Bayesian EAP, and Bayesian MCMC approaches. The procedures are illustrated through analysis of two real datasets and further…

Measurement error affects the quality of population orderings of an index and, hence, increases the misclassification of the poor and the non-poor groups and affects statistical inferences from binary regression models. Hence, the conclusions about the extent, profile, and distribution of poverty are likely to be misleading. However, the size and…

Statistics education is increasingly important to our society with enrolment increases of 16% in introductory statistics courses and 85% in upper-level statistics courses. Research has demonstrated many factors related to students' behaviors and outcomes in statistics courses such as past achievement, attitudes, and effort. We sought to model…

In Bayesian statistics, the most widely used criteria of Bayesian model assessment and comparison are Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Watanabe-Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC). A multilevel mediation model is used as an illustrative example to compare different types of DIC and WAIC. More specifically, the study compares the…

Observational data typically contain measurement errors. Covariance-based structural equation modelling (CB-SEM) is capable of modelling measurement errors and yields consistent parameter estimates. In contrast, methods of regression analysis using weighted composites as well as a partial least squares approach to SEM facilitate the prediction and…

Bayesian methods seem a natural choice for combining sources of evidence in meta-analyses. However, in practice, their sensitivity to the choice of prior distribution is much less attractive, particularly for parameters describing heterogeneity. A recent non-Bayesian approach to fixed-effects meta-analysis provides novel ways to think about…

We present a unique and innovative course, Biostatistical Literacy, developed at the University of Minnesota. The course is aimed at public health graduate students and health sciences professionals. Its goal is to develop students' ability to read and interpret statistical results in the medical and public health literature. The content spans the…