A basic description of the Rasch model and a brief review of the work previously done on the model is related. Simulated data was used to test goodness of fit to the Rasch model. It was found that data with near perfect fit to the Guttman model provides perfect fit to the Rasch model, though a perfect Guttman scale collapses. Random data also…

To measure industrial development in Taiwan, four variables were used: the index of industrial production, electricity consumed in kilowatt hours per capita, Gross National Product per capita, and the percentage of the active working force engaged in non-agricultural occupations. The primary objective of the study was to design a predicting model…

If information science is to be considered a "science" in the true sense of the word, a set of general concepts and analytical expressions must be developed. Fundamental to this development is a rigorous and quantifiable measure of information. In previous papers a general framework, called a generalized information system, is suggested…

A research project developed a computer program for analyzing time series quasi-experimental data. The program generates a nonstationary, integrated moving average time series model; it is used to estimate a parameter which indexes the instantaneous change in level of the time series due to a predesignated treatment. The entire method is based on…

An attempt to build a mathematical model of a device that could learn geometry is discussed. The report discusses the background and motivation of the study, the coding problem, the derivation of Suppes "Stimulus-Response Theory of Finite Automata" used in the work in learning theory, and a summary of the technical work. (DB)

Omitted items cannot properly be treated as wrong when estimating ability and item parameters. A convenient method for utilizing the information provided by omissions is presented. Some theoretical and considerable empirical justification is adduced for the estimates obtained by both old and new methods. (Author)

This report, a technical appendix to The Performance Contracting Concept in Education (EA 003 602), summarizes the mathematical models that have been developed to analyze contractual relationships and incentives. The report will be of interest primarily to theoreticians and analysts rather than educational administrators. (Author)

The behavior of focus samples central to the multiple-look model of Trabasso and Bower is examined by three methods. First, exact probabilities of success conditional upon a certain brief history of stimulation are determined. Second, possible states of the organism during the experiment are defined and a transition matrix for those states…

Proceeding from a unifying framework, the paper reviews recent developments in lexicographic orders, preferences, utilities, probabilities and decision rules. Several new results are included. (see also: LI 004 160) (Author)

Statistical inference concerning the parameters of k multivariate normal populations is considered. Several models in which the parameters have certain hierarchical relationships are discussed, in particular as related to testing the hypothesis that k psychological tests are parallel forms of the same test. The report contains the following…

A model for multiple choice test-taking behavior is proposed which is different from those presently used for item sampling theory. A new theory is developed, which includes a new concept to facilitate comprehension of item sampling theory, a "number-known" score distribution. A major advantage of the model is that it accommodates data from…

In many circumstances it is appropriate to use the school as the unit of analysis. The variables measured on students must be aggregated to form a mean for each school. However, the means derived from the students sampled in a school will tend to fluctuate around the true mean for the school in a way determined by the within-school correlations…

A reanalysis of Shaycroft's matrix of intercorrelations of 10 test variables plus 4 random variables is discussed. Three different procedures were used in the reanalysis: (1) Image Component Analysis, (2) Uniqueness Rescaling Factor Analysis, and (3) Alpha Factor Analysis. The results of these analyses are presented in tables. It is concluded from…

CERTAIN SPECIFIC ASPECTS OF HYPOTHESIS TESTS USED FOR ANALYSIS OF RESULTS IN RANDOMIZED EXPERIMENTS WERE STUDIED--(1) THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE THEORETICAL FACTOR, THAT OF PROVIDING INFORMATION ON STATISTICAL TESTS FOR CERTAIN EXPERIMENTAL DESIGNS AND (2) THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE APPLIED ELEMENT, THAT OF SUPPLYING THE EXPERIMENTER WITH MACHINERY FOR…

A test bias definition, applicable at the item-level of a test is presented. The definition conceptually equates test bias with measuring different things in different groups, and operationally equates test bias with a difference in item fit to the Rasch Model, greater than one, between groups. It is suggested that the proposed definition avoids…