This paper discusses two approaches that are well adapted to school district enrollment forecasting and related planning studies. The author focuses in turn on two enrollment forecasting methods--the Analytical Simulation Approach, and the Modified Cohort Survival Approach. After briefly describing each forecasting method, he presents a short case…

The method used to arrive at four measures (three aptitude test scores and a high school grade point average) for predicting probable success is described. These measures were developed into three separate equations to predict success in: learning shorthand theory, reading shorthand notes, and dictation/transcription ability. (Author/MS)

There is evidence that standardized test scores are not only valuable predictors of college grades for Black students, but in some instances, particularly for Black males, may be more predictively valid than high school rank or average. (Author)

The split-population exponential design suggested by Maltz and McCleary to predict parolee recidivism (TM 502 998) was applied to discharged psychiatric inpatients. Parameter estimates changed systematically as greater and greater observation time was allowed in the computation, thus limiting extrapolability. (Author/GDC)

A selected and annotated bibliography of ERIC documents describing community college enrollment projection methods, including a demographic planning model, a modified Delphi technique, a cohort survival model, the age participation technique, and the bond program projection technique. (Author/AC)

Reports a recently proposed method of identifying delinquency as early as third grade based on peer group associations, the Halstead-Reitan test battery, perceptual and hand-eye coordination tests, and family environment. (MDR)

This study investigates the application of predictor variables identified by nine previous studies and by staff members of a family court and its psychiatric clinic to clinical predictions of dangerousness. The records of 122 juveniles were studied. No significant relationships were found. (Author)

In this study the Graded Word List proved to be a poor indicator of fourth through eighth grade students' scores on an informal reading inventory. (MKM)

Notes that there is no pedagogical or psychological research or evaluation to date to justify the use of norm-referenced standardized tests as precision tools. At best, they are experimental instruments, yet they are used as if they are already proven to be valid. (Author/AM)

Part 1 of this study demonstrated that a test battery using football skills and motor ability test items had discriminatory power and indicated that football potential may be predicted; part 2 evaluated three different football teams from three strata of competition using the battery tested in Part 1. (MM)

Affirms the evidence for predictive validity of assessment centers and concludes that assessment centers can work for a variety of purposes and in numerous contexts. Raises possible explainations for the predictive validity observed in assessment centers and raises implications for practice and guidance of future research. (Author/KS)

Explored the relations of the Concept Assessment Kit-Conservation to the Stanford-Binet and the Wide Range Achievement Test in a sample of 155 educable mentally retarded children. Results suggest that Piagetian intelligence is somewhat distinct from psychometric intelligence but suggest that the latter is the better predictor of academic…

Examined the reliability and validity of the Individual Reading Readiness Inventory (IRRI) and determined that it could be used with confidence as a measure to predict the extent to which children would profit from formal reading instruction in kindergarten. (Author/RWB)

The utility of intelligence tests for teaching and learning is questionable. These tests and the construct of intelligence have little value in classifying, predicting, and diagnosing the mental competence of Black children. Research may reveal components of mental potential which are more testable. Standardized I.Q. tests should be abandoned. (VM)