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Peer reviewed
Direct linkD'Argembeau, Arnaud; Garcia Jimenez, Claudia – Applied Cognitive Psychology, 2020
Prospection is associated, in varying degrees, with a sense that imagined events will (or will not) happen in the future--referred to as "belief in future occurrence." The present research investigated to what extent this belief is justified and predicts the actual occurrence of events in the future. In two studies, participants rated…
Descriptors: Predictive Validity, Beliefs, Futures (of Society), Probability
Sim, Min Kyu; Choi, Dong Gu – Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 2020
Purpose: This study builds a stochastic model of a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) that fits well with a dataset of professional playing records. Methods: The point-by-point dataset of Men's single matches played in the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) tour from 2011 to 2015 is analyzed. A long-debated assumption on the…
Descriptors: Probability, Racquet Sports, Scores, Scoring
Thompson, W. Burt; Garry, Amanda; Taylor, John; Radell, Milen L. – Psychology Learning and Teaching, 2020
When people interpret the outcome of a research study, do they consider other relevant information such as prior research? In the current study, 251 college graduates read a single brief fictitious news article. The article summarized the findings of a study that found positive results for a new drug. Three versions of the article varied the…
Descriptors: College Graduates, Statistics, Misconceptions, Probability
The Reliability of the Posterior Probability of Skill Attainment in Diagnostic Classification Models
Johnson, Matthew S.; Sinharay, Sandip – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2020
One common score reported from diagnostic classification assessments is the vector of posterior means of the skill mastery indicators. As with any assessment, it is important to derive and report estimates of the reliability of the reported scores. After reviewing a reliability measure suggested by Templin and Bradshaw, this article suggests three…
Descriptors: Reliability, Probability, Skill Development, Classification
Byrne, Ruth M. J.; Johnson-Laird, P. N. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2020
The theory of mental models postulates that conditionals and disjunctions refer to possibilities, real or counterfactual. Factual conditionals, for example, "If there's an apple, there's a pear," parallel counterfactual ones, for example, "If there had been an apple, there would have been a pear." A similar parallel underlies…
Descriptors: Ethics, Probability, Schemata (Cognition), Logical Thinking
Baldwin, Peter; Margolis, Melissa J.; Clauser, Brian E.; Mee, Janet; Winward, Marcia – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2020
Evidence of the internal consistency of standard-setting judgments is a critical part of the validity argument for tests used to make classification decisions. The bookmark standard-setting procedure is a popular approach to establishing performance standards, but there is relatively little research that reflects on the internal consistency of the…
Descriptors: Standard Setting (Scoring), Probability, Cutting Scores, Evaluation Methods
Shao, Lucy; Levine, Richard A.; Guarcello, Maureen A.; Wilke, Morten C.; Stronach, Jeanne; Frazee, James P.; Fan, Juanjuan – International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education, 2023
Propensity score matching and weighting methods are applied to balance covariates and reduce selection bias in the analysis of observational study data, and ultimately estimate a treatment effect. We wish to evaluate the impact of a Supplemental Instruction (SI) program on student success in an Introductory Statistics course. In such student…
Descriptors: Statistical Bias, Probability, Scores, Weighted Scores
Kim, Stella Yun; Lee, Won-Chan – Applied Measurement in Education, 2023
This study evaluates various scoring methods including number-correct scoring, IRT theta scoring, and hybrid scoring in terms of scale-score stability over time. A simulation study was conducted to examine the relative performance of five scoring methods in terms of preserving the first two moments of scale scores for a population in a chain of…
Descriptors: Scoring, Comparative Analysis, Item Response Theory, Simulation
Musci, Rashelle J.; Kush, Joseph M.; Masyn, Katherine E.; Esmaeili, Masoumeh Amin; Susukida, Ryoko; Goulter, Natalie; McMahon, Robert; Eddy, J. Mark; Ialongo, Nicholas S.; Tolan, Patrick; Godwin, Jennifer; Bierman, Karen L.; Bierman, Karen L.; Coie, John D.; Crowley, D. Max; Dodge, Kenneth A.; Greenberg, Mark T.; Lochman, John E.; McMahon, Robert J.; Pinderhughes, Ellen E.; Wilcox, Holly C. – Prevention Science, 2023
Psychotic-like experiences (PLEs) are common throughout childhood, and the presence of these experiences is a significant risk factor for poor mental health later in development. Given the association of PLEs with a broad number of mental health diagnoses, these experiences serve as an important malleable target for early preventive interventions.…
Descriptors: Psychosis, Symptoms (Individual Disorders), Children, Adolescents
Turley, Margaret J. – ProQuest LLC, 2023
Career and technical education (CTE) incorporates occupational skills, workforce readiness skills, and credentials that make high school graduates better prepared for the workforce. Students who complete CTE programs of study have higher employment rates after high school graduation and often go on to postsecondary education. For those who do not…
Descriptors: High School Graduates, Vocational Education, Student Satisfaction, Career Choice
Jianyi Liu; Tengwen Fan; Yan Chen; Jingjing Zhao – npj Science of Learning, 2023
Statistical learning (SL) plays a key role in literacy acquisition. Studies have increasingly revealed the influence of distributional statistical properties of words on visual word processing, including the effects of word frequency (lexical level) and mappings between orthography, phonology, and semantics (sub-lexical level). However, there has…
Descriptors: Semantics, Brain Hemisphere Functions, Language Processing, Reading Processes
Download full textHanif Akhtar – International Society for Technology, Education, and Science, 2023
For efficiency, Computerized Adaptive Test (CAT) algorithm selects items with the maximum information, typically with a 50% probability of being answered correctly. However, examinees may not be satisfied if they only correctly answer 50% of the items. Researchers discovered that changing the item selection algorithms to choose easier items (i.e.,…
Descriptors: Success, Probability, Computer Assisted Testing, Adaptive Testing
Ane Izagirre; Jon Anasagasti; Ainhoa Berciano – Statistics Education Research Journal, 2025
Probability literacy has gained importance in educational curricula. The aim of this research was to analyse secondary education teachers' attitudes towards probability and its teaching and to examine differences across the factors of gender, academic training, and work experience. From a positivist paradigm, a quantitative methodology was used.…
Descriptors: Secondary School Teachers, Teacher Attitudes, Mathematics Instruction, Probability
María del Mar López-Martín; María Burgos Navarro; Verónica Albanese – Statistics Education Research Journal, 2025
To ensure the learning of mathematics, teachers must be able to analyse their students' mathematical practices when solving tasks, interpret the difficulties that students encounter, and decide how to manage students' difficulties. This competence in didactic analysis and intervention allows teachers to adapt their teaching to meet individual…
Descriptors: Statistics Education, Mathematics Instruction, Student Needs, Preservice Teachers
Lindsey Kaler; Roddy Theobald – National Center for Analysis of Longitudinal Data in Education Research (CALDER), 2025
Paraeducators are an essential and growing part of the special education workforce, but concerningly, research indicates that paraeducators leave the workforce at higher rates than special educators. Not much is known about the demographic and professional profiles of paraeducators who leave the workforce, nor patterns that make turnover more or…
Descriptors: Labor Turnover, Special Education, Probability, Time
