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Moffitt, Robert A.; Gottschalk, Peter – Journal of Human Resources, 2012
We estimate the trend in the transitory variance of male earnings in the United States using the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 1970 to 2004. Using an error components model and simpler but only approximate methods, we find that the transitory variance started to increase in the early 1970s, continued to increase through the…
Descriptors: Evidence, Salary Wage Differentials, Males, Trend Analysis
Furno, Orlando F.; Gaughan, James M. – 1978
Forecasting from an educational planner's viewpoint, this study projects national and New York State revenues and expenditures until 1990. It is also intended to provide methodological guides for educational planners. Projections assume the continuation of long-term cyclical trends. Four basic procedures were used to project economic data: the…
Descriptors: Elementary Secondary Education, Expenditures, Graphs, Income