College enrollment will be relatively stable over the next four years according to new projections by the U.S. Department of Education. (MLW)

The merits of double exponential smoothing are discussed relative to other types of pattern-based enrollment forecasting methods. The difficulties associated with selecting an appropriate weight factor are discussed, and their potential effects on prediction results are illustrated. Two methods for objectively selecting the "best" weight…

A technique is described for private liberal arts colleges to assess the probable matriculation behavior of admitted applicants. By performing a multiple discriminate analysis of data obtained from applicants admitted during a previous admissions season, and applying the information to a decision-making strategy used in political elections the…

This study examines racial/ethnic group differences in two- and four-year college enrollment rates of bachelor's degree aspirants, controlled for differences in expected costs and benefits, financial resources, academic characteristics, and social and cultural capital. The sample (n=7,832) is drawn from the National Educational Longitudinal Study…

An empirical approach is taken to the problem of predicting effects of student financial aid programs on postsecondary enrollment rates and patterns. A model of students' enrollment decisions is developed and used to estimate the likely effects of alternative award policies for the Basic Educational Opportunity Grant (BEOG) program. The analysis…