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Sinharay, Sandip; Johnson, Matthew S. – Grantee Submission, 2021
Score differencing is one of six categories of statistical methods used to detect test fraud (Wollack & Schoenig, 2018) and involves the testing of the null hypothesis that the performance of an examinee is similar over two item sets versus the alternative hypothesis that the performance is better on one of the item sets. We suggest, to…
Descriptors: Probability, Bayesian Statistics, Cheating, Statistical Analysis
Kenneth Tyler Wilcox; Ross Jacobucci; Zhiyong Zhang; Brooke A. Ammerman – Grantee Submission, 2023
Text is a burgeoning data source for psychological researchers, but little methodological research has focused on adapting popular modeling approaches for text to the context of psychological research. One popular measurement model for text, topic modeling, uses a latent mixture model to represent topics underlying a body of documents. Recently,…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Content Analysis, Undergraduate Students, Self Destructive Behavior
Andrew Gelman; Matthijs Vákár – Grantee Submission, 2021
It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure that uses the data to determine how much adjustment to perform. The result is a novel analysis with increased…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Analysis, Efficiency, Statistical Inference
Lauren Kennedy; Daniel Simpson; Andrew Gelman – Grantee Submission, 2019
Cognitive modelling shares many features with statistical modelling, making it seem trivial to borrow from the practices of robust Bayesian statistics to protect the practice of robust cognitive modelling. We take one aspect of statistical workflow--prior predictive checks--and explore how they might be applied to a cognitive modelling task. We…
Descriptors: Models, Cognitive Measurement, Experiments, Statistical Analysis
Craig K. Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
The year 2022 is the 20th anniversary of Joseph Schafer and John Graham's paper titled "Missing data: Our view of the state of the art," currently the most highly cited paper in the history of "Psychological Methods." Much has changed since 2002, as missing data methodologies have continually evolved and improved; the range of…
Descriptors: Data, Research, Theories, Regression (Statistics)
Sinharay, Sandip; Johnson, Matthew S. – Grantee Submission, 2019
According to Wollack and Schoenig (2018), score differencing is one of six types of statistical methods used to detect test fraud. In this paper, we suggested the use of Bayes factors (e.g., Kass & Raftery, 1995) for score differencing. A simulation study shows that the suggested approach performs slightly better than an existing frequentist…
Descriptors: Cheating, Deception, Statistical Analysis, Bayesian Statistics
Enders, Craig K.; Du, Han; Keller, Brian T. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Despite the broad appeal of missing data handling approaches that assume a missing at random (MAR) mechanism (e.g., multiple imputation and maximum likelihood estimation), some very common analysis models in the behavioral science literature are known to cause bias-inducing problems for these approaches. Regression models with incomplete…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Regression (Statistics), Predictor Variables, Bayesian Statistics
Xu Qin; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Research questions regarding how, for whom, and where a treatment achieves its effect on an outcome have become increasingly valued in substantive research. Such questions can be answered by causal moderated mediation analysis, which assesses the heterogeneity of the mediation mechanism underlying the treatment effect across individual and…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Mediation Theory, Computer Software, Statistical Analysis
Peng Ding; Luke W. Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2019
For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical randomization without any hypothetical super population assumptions about the potential outcomes. These estimators have…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Randomized Controlled Trials, Bayesian Statistics
Zhang, Zhiyong; Jiang, Kaifeng; Liu, Haiyan; Oh, In-Sue – Grantee Submission, 2018
To answer the call of introducing more Bayesian techniques to organizational research (e.g., Kruschke, Aguinis, & Joo, 2012; Zyphur & Oswald, 2013), we propose a Bayesian approach for meta-analysis with power prior in this article. The primary purpose of this method is to allow meta-analytic researchers to control the contribution of each…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Meta Analysis, Correlation, Statistical Analysis
Vuorre, Matti; Bolger, Niall – Grantee Submission, 2018
Statistical mediation allows researchers to investigate potential causal effects of experimental manipulations through intervening variables. It is a powerful tool for assessing the presence and strength of postulated causal mechanisms. Although mediation is used in certain areas of psychology, it is rarely applied in cognitive psychology and…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Cognitive Psychology, Neurosciences
Karabatsos, George – Grantee Submission, 2017
This article introduces a Bayesian method for testing the axioms of additive conjoint measurement. The method is based on an importance sampling algorithm that performs likelihood-free, approximate Bayesian inference using a synthetic likelihood to overcome the analytical intractability of this testing problem. This new method improves upon…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Measurement, Statistical Analysis, Statistical Inference
Enders, Craig K.; Keller, Brian T.; Levy, Roy – Grantee Submission, 2018
Specialized imputation routines for multilevel data are widely available in software packages, but these methods are generally not equipped to handle a wide range of complexities that are typical of behavioral science data. In particular, existing imputation schemes differ in their ability to handle random slopes, categorical variables,…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Behavioral Science Research, Computer Software, Bayesian Statistics
Doroudi, Shayan; Brunskill, Emma – Grantee Submission, 2017
In this paper, we investigate two purported problems with Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT), a popular statistical model of student learning: "identifiability" and "semantic model degeneracy." In 2007, Beck and Chang stated that BKT is susceptible to an "identifiability problem"--various models with different…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Research Problems, Statistical Analysis, Models
Peng Ding; Fan Li – Grantee Submission, 2018
Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes of the same units under different treatment conditions. Because for each unit at most one of the potential…
Descriptors: Attribution Theory, Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Research Problems
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