Demand for Pell Grant financial aid has become difficult to predict when using the current microsimulation model. This paper proposes an alternative model that uses aggregate data (based on individuals' microlevel decisions and macrodata on family incomes, college costs, and opportunity wages) and avoids some limitations of simple linear models.…

Examined the performance of a recently available full information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimator in a multiple regression model with missing data using Monte Carlo simulation and considering the effects of four independent variables. Results indicate that FIML estimation was superior to that of three ad hoc techniques, with less bias and less…

I present modifications to the traditional course entitled, "Process dynamics and control," which I renamed "Modeling, dynamics, and control of chemical and biological processes." Additions include the central dogma of biology, pharmacokinetic systems, population balances, control of gene transcription, and large­-scale…

The similarity of item and ability parameter estimations was investigated using two numerical analysis techniques via marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MMLE) with a large simulated data set (n=1,000 examinees) and changing the number of quadrature points. MMLE estimation uses a numerical analysis technique to integrate examinees' abilities…

The theoretical differences between the traditional definition of dimensionality and the more recently defined notion of essential dimensionality are presented. Monte Carlo simulations are used to demonstrate the utility of W. F. Stout's procedure to assess the essential unidimensionality of the latent space underlying a set of terms. The…

Various methods have been suggested for the analysis of data collected in research settings where random assignment of subjects to groups has not occurred. For the purposes of this paper the set of allowable nonrandomized designs is made up of those research designs where data are collected for one or more groups of subjects at two or more time…

Achievements, limitations, and difficulties of social science simulation efforts are discussed with particular reference to three examples. The pedagogical use of complementary developmental, philosophical, mathematical, and scientific approaches is advocated to minimize potential abuses of social simulation research. (LS)

This pilot simulation study examines the important methodological problems involved in costing educational wastage, focusing specifically on the cost implications of educational wastage in primary education. Purpose of the study is to provide a clearer picture of the underlying rationale and interrelated consequences of reducing educational…

An activity sequence is described. Several aspects of a population problem are developed using isoperimetric graph paper and symmetry principles to derive general rules. (SD)

The robustness of the Johnson-Neyman technique and analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) to violations of assumptions of homoscedasticity and homogeneity of variance was tested through the use of Monte Carlo computer procedures. The study simulated a one-way, fixed-effects analysis with two treatment groups, one criterion, Y, and one covariate, X. Five…

The purpose of the Pilot Training Study is to produce tools with which to analyze the pilot training process of the Air Force in terms of the resources required to train pilots and the cost of pilot training. These tools allow examination of the training courses themselves, and also of the policy factors which drive the need for pilots. The tools…

This document methodically traces the development of the fundamental concepts of systems thinking in education from Harbert to contemporary innovators. The discussion explains narrative models, concentrating on educational flowcharting techniques and mathematical models related to developments in engineering and physical science. The presentation…

This paper reports a preliminary study on the development of a linear-programing- type model to stimulate a constrained Federal program of educational support to the States. This model determines the distribution of fixed amount funds according to some measure of effectiveness. Federal involvement so far has been in the form of Federal aid that is…

The report describes the Army Individual Training Establishment and the model designed to simulate the training given by the 11 Army Training Centers and by the 54 Army Service Schools in terms of students/trainees and the instructor/trainer and overhead staffing and costs required to support the training requirements. The model accepts…

The fifth (of 14) volume of the Education and Training Consultant's (ETC) series on systems engineering of education is designed for readers who have completed others in the series. It reviews arithmetic and algebraic procedures and applies these to simple education and training systems. Flowchart models of example problems are developed and…