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Martins, Rui Manuel da Costa – Teaching Statistics: An International Journal for Teachers, 2018
Using the famous Birthday problem, we present here a practical activity that allows students to perceive the basic reasoning behind simulation and explore its potential. Through a playful approach with probabilities, students are led along a path that illustrates difficulties with intuition and introduces them to theoretical results for sample…
Descriptors: Learning Activities, Probability, Intuition, Statistics
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Pennycook, Gordon; Trippas, Dries; Handley, Simon J.; Thompson, Valerie A. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014
Base-rate neglect refers to the tendency for people to underweight base-rate probabilities in favor of diagnostic information. It is commonly held that base-rate neglect occurs because effortful (Type 2) reasoning is required to process base-rate information, whereas diagnostic information is accessible to fast, intuitive (Type 1) processing…
Descriptors: Probability, Intuition, Cognitive Processes, Physicians
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Watson, Jane – Mathematics Teacher Education and Development, 2000
Considers 33 preservice secondary mathematics teachers' solutions to a famous sampling problem with particular interest on the use of intuition and/or formal mathematics in reaching a conclusion. Considers the relationship of solution strategy to students' background in formal mathematics and gender. Discusses implications for teaching statistics…
Descriptors: Intuition, Learning Strategies, Mathematics Education, Preservice Teacher Education