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Gershman, Samuel J.; Blei, David M.; Niv, Yael – Psychological Review, 2010
A. Redish et al. (2007) proposed a reinforcement learning model of context-dependent learning and extinction in conditioning experiments, using the idea of "state classification" to categorize new observations into states. In the current article, the authors propose an interpretation of this idea in terms of normative statistical inference. They…
Descriptors: Conditioning, Statistical Inference, Inferences, Bayesian Statistics
Sanchez-Meca, Julio; Marin-Martinez, Fulgencio – Psychological Methods, 2008
One of the main objectives in meta-analysis is to estimate the overall effect size by calculating a confidence interval (CI). The usual procedure consists of assuming a standard normal distribution and a sampling variance defined as the inverse of the sum of the estimated weights of the effect sizes. But this procedure does not take into account…
Descriptors: Intervals, Monte Carlo Methods, Meta Analysis, Effect Size
Klockars, Alan J.; Lee, Yoonsun – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2008
Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 replications are reported to estimate the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis regarding DIF using SIBTEST when there is DIF present and/or when impact is present due to differences on the primary dimension to be measured. Sample sizes are varied from 250 to 2000 and test lengths from 10 to 40 items.…
Descriptors: Test Bias, Test Length, Reference Groups, Probability
Kessel, Robert; Lucke, Robert L. – Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 2008
Shull, Gaynor and Grimes advanced a model for interresponse time distribution using probabilistic cycling between a higher-rate and a lower-rate response process. Both response processes are assumed to be random in time with a constant rate. The cycling between the two processes is assumed to have a constant transition probability that is…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Probability, Monte Carlo Methods, Simulation
Yuan, Ke-Hai – Multivariate Behavioral Research, 2008
In the literature of mean and covariance structure analysis, noncentral chi-square distribution is commonly used to describe the behavior of the likelihood ratio (LR) statistic under alternative hypothesis. Due to the inaccessibility of the rather technical literature for the distribution of the LR statistic, it is widely believed that the…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Graduate Students, Social Sciences, Data Analysis
Qian, Jiahe – ETS Research Report Series, 2008
In survey research, sometimes the formation of groupings, or aggregations of cases on which to make an inference, are of importance. Of particular interest are the situations where the cases aggregated carry useful information that has been transferred from a sample employed in a previous study. For example, a school to be included in the sample…
Descriptors: Surveys, Models, High Schools, School Effectiveness
Argoti, A.; Fan, L. T.; Cruz, J.; Chou, S. T. – Chemical Engineering Education, 2008
The stochastic simulation of chemical reactions, specifically, a simple reversible chemical reaction obeying the first-order, i.e., linear, rate law, has been presented by Martinez-Urreaga and his collaborators in this journal. The current contribution is intended to complement and augment their work in two aspects. First, the simple reversible…
Descriptors: Chemistry, Equations (Mathematics), Probability, Science Instruction
Henson, Robert; Roussos, Louis; Douglas, Jeff; He, Xuming – Applied Psychological Measurement, 2008
Cognitive diagnostic models (CDMs) model the probability of correctly answering an item as a function of an examinee's attribute mastery pattern. Because estimation of the mastery pattern involves more than a continuous measure of ability, reliability concepts introduced by classical test theory and item response theory do not apply. The cognitive…
Descriptors: Diagnostic Tests, Classification, Probability, Item Response Theory
Ramon Barrada, Juan; Veldkamp, Bernard P.; Olea, Julio – Applied Psychological Measurement, 2009
Computerized adaptive testing is subject to security problems, as the item bank content remains operative over long periods and administration time is flexible for examinees. Spreading the content of a part of the item bank could lead to an overestimation of the examinees' trait level. The most common way of reducing this risk is to impose a…
Descriptors: Item Banks, Adaptive Testing, Item Analysis, Psychometrics
Collier, Raymond O., Jr.; Larson, Robert C. – Rev Educ Res, 1969
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Probability, Sampling, Statistics
Cheung, Mike W. L. – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2007
Mediators are variables that explain the association between an independent variable and a dependent variable. Structural equation modeling (SEM) is widely used to test models with mediating effects. This article illustrates how to construct confidence intervals (CIs) of the mediating effects for a variety of models in SEM. Specifically, mediating…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Probability, Intervals, Sample Size
Lee, Sik-Yum; Song, Xin-Yuan; Lu, Bin – Multivariate Behavioral Research, 2007
This article proposes an intuitive approach for predictive discriminant analysis with mixed continuous, dichotomous, and ordered categorical variables that are defined via an underlying multivariate normal distribution with a threshold specification. The classification rule is based on the comparison of the observed data logarithm probability…
Descriptors: Factor Analysis, Discriminant Analysis, Probability, Monte Carlo Methods
Fan, Xitao; Wang, Lin – 1998
The Monte Carlo study compared the performance of predictive discriminant analysis (PDA) and that of logistic regression (LR) for the two-group classification problem. Prior probabilities were used for classification, but the cost of misclassification was assumed to be equal. The study used a fully crossed three-factor experimental design (with…
Descriptors: Classification, Comparative Analysis, Monte Carlo Methods, Probability
Kuntzleman, Thomas S.; Swanson, Matthew S.; Sayers, Deborah K. – Journal of Chemical Education, 2007
An exercise is presented in which the kinetics of the irreversible "reaction" of pennies in the heads-up state to pennies in the tails-up state is simulated by a hands-on, Monte Carlo approach. In addition, the exercise incorporates a second simulation in which the irreversible "reaction" of dice with a red face uppermost to a blue face uppermost…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Kinetics, Probability, Item Response Theory
Egelston, Richard L. – 1978
A Monte Carlo investigation of Markov chain matrices was conducted to create empirical distributions for two statistics created from the transition matrices. Curve fitting techniques developed by Karl Pearson were used to deduce if theoretical equations could be fit to the two sets of distributions. The set of distributions which describe the…
Descriptors: Matrices, Monte Carlo Methods, Probability, Research Reports

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