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Richard Breen; John Ermisch – Sociological Methods & Research, 2024
We consider the problem of bias arising from conditioning on a post-outcome collider. We illustrate this with reference to Elwert and Winship (2014) but we go beyond their study to investigate the extent to which inverse probability weighting might offer solutions. We use linear models to derive expressions for the bias arising in different kinds…
Descriptors: Probability, Statistical Bias, Weighted Scores, Least Squares Statistics
Umut Atasever; Francis L. Huang; Leslie Rutkowski – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2025
When analyzing large-scale assessments (LSAs) that use complex sampling designs, it is important to account for probability sampling using weights. However, the use of these weights in multilevel models has been widely debated, particularly regarding their application at different levels of the model. Yet, no consensus has been reached on the best…
Descriptors: Mathematics Tests, International Assessment, Elementary Secondary Education, Foreign Countries
Cai, Tianji; Xia, Yiwei; Zhou, Yisu – Sociological Methods & Research, 2021
Analysts of discrete data often face the challenge of managing the tendency of inflation on certain values. When treated improperly, such phenomenon may lead to biased estimates and incorrect inferences. This study extends the existing literature on single-value inflated models and develops a general framework to handle variables with more than…
Descriptors: Statistical Distributions, Probability, Statistical Analysis, Statistical Bias
Leite, Walter L.; Aydin, Burak; Gurel, Sungur – Journal of Experimental Education, 2019
This Monte Carlo simulation study compares methods to estimate the effects of programs with multiple versions when assignment of individuals to program version is not random. These methods use generalized propensity scores, which are predicted probabilities of receiving a particular level of the treatment conditional on covariates, to remove…
Descriptors: Probability, Weighted Scores, Monte Carlo Methods, Statistical Bias
Huang, Francis L. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2018
Studies analyzing clustered data sets using both multilevel models (MLMs) and ordinary least squares (OLS) regression have generally concluded that resulting point estimates, but not the standard errors, are comparable with each other. However, the accuracy of the estimates of OLS models is important to consider, as several alternative techniques…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Least Squares Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Comparative Analysis
Maeda, Hotaka; Zhang, Bo – International Journal of Testing, 2017
The omega (?) statistic is reputed to be one of the best indices for detecting answer copying on multiple choice tests, but its performance relies on the accurate estimation of copier ability, which is challenging because responses from the copiers may have been contaminated. We propose an algorithm that aims to identify and delete the suspected…
Descriptors: Cheating, Test Items, Mathematics, Statistics
An, Chen; Braun, Henry; Walsh, Mary E. – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2018
Making causal inferences from a quasi-experiment is difficult. Sensitivity analysis approaches to address hidden selection bias thus have gained popularity. This study serves as an introduction to a simple but practical form of sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation procedures. We examine estimated treatment effects for a school-based…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Intervention, Program Effectiveness, Quasiexperimental Design
Kelcey, Ben – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2013
A central issue in nonexperimental studies is identifying comparable individuals to remove selection bias. One common way to address this selection bias is through propensity score (PS) matching. PS methods use a model of the treatment assignment to reduce the dimensionality of the covariate space and identify comparable individuals. parallel to…
Descriptors: Probability, Scores, Statistical Bias, Prediction
Leth-Steensen, Craig; Gallitto, Elena – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2016
A large number of approaches have been proposed for estimating and testing the significance of indirect effects in mediation models. In this study, four sets of Monte Carlo simulations involving full latent variable structural equation models were run in order to contrast the effectiveness of the currently popular bias-corrected bootstrapping…
Descriptors: Mediation Theory, Structural Equation Models, Monte Carlo Methods, Simulation
Solomon, Benjamin G.; Forsberg, Ole J. – School Psychology Quarterly, 2017
Bayesian techniques have become increasingly present in the social sciences, fueled by advances in computer speed and the development of user-friendly software. In this paper, we forward the use of Bayesian Asymmetric Regression (BAR) to monitor intervention responsiveness when using Curriculum-Based Measurement (CBM) to assess oral reading…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Least Squares Statistics, Evaluation Methods
Bellara, Aarti P. – ProQuest LLC, 2013
Propensity score analysis has been used to minimize the selection bias in observational studies to identify causal relationships. A propensity score is an estimate of an individual's probability of being placed in a treatment group given a set of covariates. Propensity score analysis aims to use the estimate to create balanced groups, akin to a…
Descriptors: Scores, Probability, Monte Carlo Methods, Statistical Analysis
Itang'ata, Mukaria J. J. – ProQuest LLC, 2013
Often researchers face situations where comparative studies between two or more programs are necessary to make causal inferences for informed policy decision-making. Experimental designs employing randomization provide the strongest evidence for causal inferences. However, many pragmatic and ethical challenges may preclude the use of randomized…
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Probability, Statistical Bias, Monte Carlo Methods
Apaloo, Francis – Online Submission, 2013
A key issue in quasi-experimental studies and also with many evaluations which required a treatment effects (i.e. a control or experimental group) design is selection bias (Shadish el at 2002). Selection bias refers to the selection of individuals, groups or data for analysis such that proper randomization is not achieved, thereby ensuring that…
Descriptors: Quasiexperimental Design, Probability, Scores, Least Squares Statistics
Le, Huy; Marcus, Justin – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2012
This study used Monte Carlo simulation to examine the properties of the overall odds ratio (OOR), which was recently introduced as an index for overall effect size in multiple logistic regression. It was found that the OOR was relatively independent of study base rate and performed better than most commonly used R-square analogs in indexing model…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Probability, Mathematical Concepts, Effect Size
Dong, Nianbo – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2011
The purpose of this study is through Monte Carlo simulation to compare several propensity score methods in approximating factorial experimental design and identify best approaches in reducing bias and mean square error of parameter estimates of the main and interaction effects of two factors. Previous studies focused more on unbiased estimates of…
Descriptors: Research Design, Probability, Monte Carlo Methods, Simulation
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