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ERIC Number: EJ1460444
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2025-Mar
Pages: 13
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0731-1745
EISSN: EISSN-1745-3992
Available Date: 2024-10-09
Demystifying Adequate Growth Percentiles
Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, v44 n1 p31-43 2025
Growth-to-standard models evaluate student growth against the growth needed to reach a future standard or target of interest, such as proficiency. A common growth-to-standard model involves comparing the popular Student Growth Percentile (SGP) to Adequate Growth Percentiles (AGPs). AGPs follow from an involved process based on fitting a series of nonlinear quantile regression models to longitudinal student test score data. This paper demystifies AGPs by deriving them in the more familiar linear regression framework. It further shows that unlike SGPs, AGPs and on-track classifications based on AGPs are strongly related to status. Lastly, AGPs are evaluated in terms of their classification accuracy. An empirical study and analytic derivations reveal AGPs can be problematic indicators of students' future performance with previously not proficient students being more likely incorrectly flagged as not on-track and previously proficient students as on track. These classification errors have equity implications at the individual and school levels.
Wiley. Available from: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030. Tel: 800-835-6770; e-mail: cs-journals@wiley.com; Web site: https://www-wiley-com.bibliotheek.ehb.be/en-us
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: 1ETS Research Institute, Princeton, NJ