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Liu, Xiangwei; Ma, Xin – Journal of Curriculum and Teaching, 2012
The stock market has a high profit and high risk features, on the stock market analysis and prediction research has been paid attention to by people. Stock price trend is a complex nonlinear function, so the price has certain predictability. This article mainly with improved BP neural network (BPNN) to set up the stock market prediction model, and…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Validity, Predictive Measurement, Models
Guarino, Cassandra M.; Reckase, Mark D.; Stacy, Brian W.; Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. – Education Policy Center at Michigan State University, 2014
We study the properties of two specification tests that have been applied to a variety of estimators in the context of value-added measures (VAMs) of teacher and school quality: the Hausman test for choosing between random and fixed effects and a test for feedback (sometimes called a "falsification test"). We discuss theoretical…
Descriptors: Achievement Gains, Evaluation Methods, Teacher Effectiveness, Educational Quality
Goldhaber, Dan; Chaplin, Duncan – Center for Education Data & Research, 2012
In a provocative and influential paper, Jesse Rothstein (2010) finds that standard value added models (VAMs) suggest implausible future teacher effects on past student achievement, a finding that obviously cannot be viewed as causal. This is the basis of a falsification test (the Rothstein falsification test) that appears to indicate bias in VAM…
Descriptors: School Effectiveness, Teacher Effectiveness, Achievement Gains, Statistical Bias
Schwalbe, Michelle Kristin – ProQuest LLC, 2010
This dissertation has two primary concerns: (i) evaluating the uncertainty and prediction capabilities of a nanodiamond drug delivery model using Bayesian calibration and bias correction, and (ii) determining conceptual difficulties of multi-scale analysis from an engineering education perspective. A Bayesian uncertainty quantification scheme…
Descriptors: Engineering Education, Delivery Systems, Cancer, Chemistry
LeMaster, W. Dean; Gray, Thomas H. – 1974
The purpose of this study was to develop a screening procedure for undergraduate pilot training (UPT). This procedure was based upon the use of ground-based instrument trainers in which UPT candidates, naive to flying, were evaluated in their performance of job sample tasks; i.e., basic instrument flying. Training and testing sessions were…
Descriptors: Educational Testing, Flight Training, Personnel Selection, Predictive Measurement
Morris, John D. – 1978
Several advantages to the use of factor scores as independent variables in a multiple regression equation were found. To help select the most desirable type of factor score on which to calculate a regression equation, computer-based Monte Carlo methods were used to compare the predictive accuracy upon replication of regression of five…
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Correlation, Factor Analysis, Multiple Regression Analysis
SCHALOCK, HENRY D.; AND OTHERS – 1964
THE PURPOSE OF THE STUDY WAS TO TEST THE HYPOTHESIS THAT, WHEN STIMULI PRESENTED IN TESTS TO RESPONDENTS INCREASE IN THEIR APPROXIMATION TO THE COMPLEXITY OF RELATED LIFE BEHAVIOR, EFFICIENCY OF TESTS IN PREDICTING LIFE BEHAVIOR WILL ALSO INCREASE. THE STUDY WAS CARRIED OUT IN THE CONTEXT OF TEACHER EDUCATION, WITH ACTUAL CLASSROOM BEHAVIOR OF…
Descriptors: Behavior, Films, Measurement Techniques, Media Research