The general feeling is that no predictions can be made based on agent-based social simulations. The outcomes of social simulations are based on the behaviors of individuals and their interactions. Behavioral models are always incomplete and often, also incorrect with respect to real behavior and thus the outcomes of agent-based social simulations…

In collaborative learning environments, students work together on assignments in virtual teams and depend on each other's contribution to achieve their learning objectives. The online learning environment, however, may not only facilitate but also hamper group communication, coordination, and collaboration. Group awareness widgets that visualize…

A major difficulty in predictions of school enrollments is the failure of the forecaster to express adequately his degree of certainty in his estimates. To alleviate this problem, a method was developed by which a forecaster could prepare probability distributions of enrollment predictions. A basic method of enrollment prediction was chosen and…

A procedure for scoring multiple-choice tests by assigning different weights to every option of a test item is investigated. The weighting method used was based on that proposed by Davis, which involves taking the upper and lower 27% of a sample, according to some criterion measure, and using the percentages of these groups marking an item option…

The potential usefulness of computerized tests for supplementing paper-and-pencil measures for predicting job performance abilities was the objective of a series of studies. This report covers the initial test development and analysis research. Eight computerized tests were constructed to measure five personal attributes identified in previous…

This report presents data concerning the validity of a set of experimental computerized and paper-and-pencil tests for measures of on-job performance on global and job elements. It reports on the usefulness of 30 experimental and operational variables for predicting marks on 42 job elements and on a global criterion for Electrician's Mate,…

A major problem in most predictions of school enrollment is the forecaster's failure to express adequately his certainty or uncertainty in his estimates. Describes a method whereby a forecaster can prepare probability distributions of enrollment predictions. The Monte Carlo computer simulation calculates enrollments by the multivariable method,…

Individualized instruction programs have imposed an increased reliance on tests as a means of selecting and routing students through sometimes complex programs. Testing which occurs within the training sequence is particularly vulnerable to inefficient use of both trainee and instructor time, but computer-based instruction system can provide a…

The primary purpose of this monograph is to describe how learning curves can be applied to vocational evaluation procedures to enhance the reliability and accuracy of performance prediction. Particular emphasis is placed on describing two techniques known as the "best 20 percent method" and the "Performance Analyzer and…

It may be possible, using assessments of motor and perceptual skills which are largely independent of ethnic and educational background, to admit to the military individuals who would be rejected on the basis of their paper-and-pencil test scores, but who through their performance on non-verbal measures, can be identified as highly likely to…

The computer-based System of Interactive Guidance and Information (SIGI) was field tested and evaluated at five community colleges and one university. Developed by Educational Testing Service, SIGI assists students in the process of informed and rational career decision making. Interacting at a cathode-ray tube terminal with a computer, students…